Betting Articles

How To Profit From Golf Betting – Strategy Guide

Golf betting presents a unique opportunity in the sports wagering landscape. Unlike team sports where you’re choosing between two outcomes, golf offers a field of 150+ players, creating value opportunities that sharp bettors can exploit. In this guide I’ll show you a systematic approach that consistently identifies profitable betting situations.
The key to successful golf betting isn’t just picking winners it’s understanding how to extract value from a market that most recreational bettors approach without correct research.

Golf Betting Strategy

Understanding Golf Betting Markets

Golf offers several distinct betting markets, each requiring a different strategic approach. The most common markets include:

Tournament Winner (Outright)

This is where most beginners start, but it’s also where they lose money fastest. With 150+ players and only one winner, you need odds of at least 150/1 to break even long-term if you’re picking randomly. The real opportunity lies in identifying undervalued players based on current form and course fit.

Top 5/Top 10/Top 20 Finishes

These markets offer better odds of success while still providing decent returns. A player finishing in the top 10 might offer 4/1 odds compared to 40/1 for an outright win, but your hit rate increases dramatically.

Each Way Markets

An each way market operates like two separate bets. One bet is placed on the winner market and a second bet equal to the same stake is placed on the top 5 unless a bookmaker is offering extra places with happen frequently.

Head-to-Head Matchups

This is where experienced bettors often find the most consistent value. You’re betting on which of two players will finish higher, typically offered at close to even odds. Success here depends on thorough player analysis rather than luck.

Live Betting

Golf’s four-day format creates numerous in-play opportunities. Weather changes, early round struggles, or momentum shifts can create significant value swings throughout the tournament.

Simple Strategy To Profit From Golf

Now that you understand the various markets available for golf betting, let’s explore the simplest strategy for making consistent profits. This is the very approach I’ve successfully used to generate returns in the golf betting markets.

Exploiting Each Way Terms and Extra Places

One of the easiest ways to profit from golf betting is by leveraging the each-way terms and extra places offered by bookmakers. While this isn’t the only profitable strategy, it’s certainly the most straightforward. The value in golf betting often lies in these each-way bets and extra places, primarily due to the differences in how bookmakers and betting exchanges operate. Betting exchanges, driven by sharp money and market efficiency, often provide the best indication of whether a bet offers value. By comparing bookmaker odds with exchange odds, you can uncover opportunities to exploit these discrepancies.

Example: Sam Bairstow as a Value Selection

Golf Betting Selections
Sam Bairstow is a value selection this week

For instance, this week, Sam Bairstow has been flagged as a value selection by specialized software I use to identify profitable golf betting opportunities. The value in this case comes from the each-way portion of the bet.

Here’s how it works:

  • Bairstow’s odds to win are 176.00 to back and 190.00 to lay on the exchange.
  • However, his place odds are 44.00, which is significantly higher than the 36.00 available on the exchange.

This creates an arbitrage opportunity, allowing you to lock in a small profit regardless of the outcome.

Breaking Down the Bet

Golf Each Way Value

Here’s a breakdown of how the bet works:

1.Each-Way Back Bet (Bookmaker):

  • £5 is placed at odds of 176.00 (win market).
  • £5 is placed at odds of 44.00 (place market).

2.Lay Bet on the Exchange:

  • £4.63 is laid at odds of 190.00 (win market).
  • £6.21 is laid at odds of 44.00 (place market).

By structuring the bet this way, you secure a profit regardless of whether Bairstow wins, places, or misses the cut.

The best approach that I have found is to bet these selections as straight value bets and profit will be made in the long term. Whilst you may not profit on every bet over the long term if you consistently take value bets such like these profit will be made.

Long-Term Profitability

While arbitrage opportunities like this can yield small, guaranteed profits, the best approach I’ve found is to treat these selections as straight value bets. Over the long term, consistently betting on value selections will lead to profits, even if individual bets don’t always win.

Golf Betting Software

To consistently identify value bets, I rely on two key pieces of golf betting software:

1.OddsMonkey’s Each-Way Pro Software: This tool, part of OddsMonkey’s broader matched betting and value betting package, is designed to uncover value in each-way bets across various sports. In the example above, it highlighted Bairstow as a value selection.

2. 20-Minute Betting System: This software uses a proprietary algorithm to scan betting markets and identify value in each-way golf bets. For example, in the image above, Coral is offering 8 places instead of the standard 5 places, creating additional value. The software flagged several golfers as profitable selections due to these extra places.

Golf Value Betting

Click Here To Learn more about the 20 minute golf system.

Analyzing Player Performance

Effective golf betting starts with comprehensive player analysis. Raw world rankings tell only part of the story—you need to dig deeper into the data that actually predicts performance.

Recent Form Analysis
Look beyond just wins and losses. A player missing cuts might still be striking the ball well but struggling with putting, or vice versa. I track strokes gained statistics across different categories:

  • Strokes gained off the tee
  • Strokes gained approach
  • Strokes gained around the green
  • Strokes gained putting

A player showing improvement in multiple categories, even without wins, often presents betting value before the market catches up.

Course History Matters
Some players consistently perform well at specific venues regardless of current form. Track not just past finishes, but scoring averages and strokes gained data at each course. A player who’s finished top 20 in three consecutive years at a venue deserves serious consideration, even if their recent form appears mediocre.

Playing Style vs Course Setup
Match player strengths to course demands. Long hitters have advantages on courses favoring distance, while precise iron players excel on target golf courses. Weather conditions amplify these advantages—windy conditions favor experienced links players, while calm conditions level the playing field.

Physical and Mental State
Monitor player interviews, social media, and recent life events. Players dealing with equipment changes, swing modifications, or personal issues often struggle initially before potentially breaking through. Conversely, players in good mental spaces often outperform their recent statistics.

Course Conditions and Environmental Factors

Weather and course conditions dramatically impact tournament outcomes, creating opportunities for bettors who properly assess these variables.

Wind Impact
Wind affects different players dramatically. Check historical data for how players perform in windy conditions. Links-style courses in wind favor players comfortable with low, controlled ball flights over those who rely on high, soft approaches.

Firm vs Soft Conditions
Firm conditions favor accuracy over distance, as balls run out and miss rough penalties become severe. Soft conditions allow more aggressive play and favor powerful players who can attack pins. Monitor weather forecasts and adjust player selections accordingly.

Pin Positions and Setup
Tournament organizers announce daily pin positions and rough heights. Difficult setups favor experienced players and course veterans who understand how to navigate challenging conditions. Easy setups often produce more bunched leaderboards where putting performance becomes crucial.

Altitude and Temperature
High altitude courses play significantly longer, favoring distance players. Hot conditions affect ball flight and player endurance differently. These factors often get overlooked by casual bettors but significantly impact outcomes.

In-play Golf Betting
Some bettors find value in-play

Bankroll Management for Golf Betting

Golf betting’s high variance demands disciplined bankroll management. Even the best strategies experience cold streaks, and proper bankroll management ensures you survive these inevitable downturns.

Unit Sizing Strategy
Never risk more than 2-3% of your total bankroll on any single bet, regardless of confidence level. Golf’s unpredictable nature means even “sure things” fail regularly. I typically structure my bets as:

  • Standard plays: 1 unit
  • Strong conviction plays: 2 units
  • Maximum plays: 3 units (rare)

Diversification Approach
Spread risk across multiple bet types rather than putting everything on outright winners. A typical tournament might include:

  • 2-3 outright selections at different price points
  • 3-4 top 10 positions
  • 2-3 head-to-head matchups

This approach provides multiple ways to profit from your research while reducing overall risk.

Tournament Selection
Not every tournament offers good betting opportunities. Focus on events where you have strong conviction about specific players or course setups. Forcing bets on every tournament dilutes your edge and increases variance.

Record Keeping and Analysis
Track every bet with detailed reasoning. This creates accountability and helps identify successful patterns in your approach. Record not just wins and losses, but near-misses and the reasoning behind each selection.

Key Takeaways

Successful golf betting requires a systematic approach combining thorough player analysis, course condition assessment, and disciplined bankroll management. The most profitable opportunities often come from identifying undervalued players who fit specific course profiles rather than simply backing favorites or hot players.

Focus on building an edge through detailed research rather than hoping to get lucky with longshot winners. Take advantage of the lucrative extra place offers that bookmakers offer and use software to help highlight the best opportunities. Remember that golf betting is a marathon, not a sprint. Even the best strategies experience losing streaks, but consistent application of sound principles leads to long-term profitability.

Related: Click Here To Read Our Strategy Guides

Bankroll 101: Building a Betting Budget That Actually Lasts the Season

It can be an exciting feeling when you’ve got a little money riding on a match. Every pass, every free kick, every missed chance suddenly feels bigger. But here’s the problem for a lot of sports bettors, plenty blow through their entire betting bank before the season is even halfway done. If you actually want to make it from the first match day to the final whistle without running out of steam, the secret isn’t luck. It’s learning how to manage your bankroll.

What a Bankroll Really Is

Think of your bankroll as your season ticket to betting. It’s a set amount of money you’ve set aside purely for betting and nothing else. Not your rent, not the holiday savings, not the cash for a new phone. Just betting money. Once you ring-fence that amount, the rest of the plan gets easier. Whether you’re following European leagues or exploring betway’s sports betting Tanzania, the principle is the same: you make your bets with a structured approach.

Betting in Units, Not All at Once

The smartest way to stretch a bankroll is to stop thinking in euros or dollars and start thinking in “units.” A unit is just a small slice of your total budget. Let’s say you’ve got £1,000 for the season. One unit might be £10. Most bets you place should be one or two units at most. That way, even if you hit a losing run—and trust me, everyone does—you’ll still have plenty left in the tank to keep going.

Bankroll Betting 101
A structured approach can allow you to win long term.

Play the Long Game

Everyone dreams of a huge win. Double your money in a weekend and never look back. Sounds great, but it almost never happens. What the best bettors know is that the goal isn’t to get rich fast. It’s to survive the entire season with your bankroll intact. That way you’re still around to take advantage when the right odds appear in week 20, not watching from the sidelines because you went broke in week 3.

Keeping Your Cool

The toughest battles aren’t on the pitch, they’re in your head. Lose a couple of bets in a row and you’ll want to chase those losses. Win big on Saturday and you’ll feel like a genius ready to up the stakes on Sunday. Both mindsets can wreck a bankroll. Discipline is everything. Stick to your unit size, take wins and losses as they come, and remember tomorrow’s another day.

Adjusting Along the Way

Bankrolls aren’t carved in stone. If yours grows, you can bump up your unit size a little. If it takes a hit, scale down. The important part is to make these changes calmly, not on the fly after a bad beat. Think of it as tuning your approach across the season rather than tearing it up in frustration.

Key Concepts of Bankroll Management

  • Never bet more then you are comfortable with
  • Adjust your stakes if you hit a significant drawdown
  • Always separate betting money from money you need to live comfortably
  • Never chase losses and always maintain a structured approach to your betting.

Wrapping Up

Managing a bankroll doesn’t sound exciting, but it’s what keeps bettors in the game for the long haul. Anyone can place a lucky bet. The ones who last a whole season are the ones who set a budget, divide it into units, and keep their emotions in check. Wins and losses will always come, but a smart bankroll plan makes sure you’re still playing when the big games arrive.

Identifying Key Factors That Influence Club Soccer Match Outcomes

Key Influences for football betting

Soccer/Football isn’t just about skill or star players. It’s the small, often overlooked details that can dictate who comes out on top. Ever wondered why underdogs manage to cause upsets or how some teams seem to dominate week in, week out? From injuries and tactics to weather and mentality, countless factors impact the outcome of a football match.

A winning streak can fire up confidence, but tough away conditions can rattle even the best teams. If you want to understand the reasons behind results—not just as a fan but as someone who wants an edge when it comes to betting insights then it’s crucial to dig deeper. Let’s break down the key variables that influence results beyond raw talent.

Key Influences for football betting

Team Form and Momentum

When it comes to predicting the result of a football match, a team’s form and momentum can’t be overstated. A side riding the high of a winning streak often performs with greater confidence and cohesion. On the flip side, teams that have suffered a run of poor results can lack rhythm, motivation, or belief, making it harder to turn things around.

That said, momentum isn’t always as simple as looking at the scoreboard. A team that performs well despite losing matches might be closer to a breakthrough than it seems, while another side barely scraping wins may be masking deeper issues in their form.

This is why analysing a team’s recent matches in detail can make a massive difference, especially if you’re placing  Club Soccer Bets. Look at around five or ten games to spot key trends. Who’s scoring? Who’s underperforming? How do they handle either trailing or holding onto a lead? These insights can be gold.

Momentum is also tied to other factors. Team morale, major tactical changes, or a star player returning from injury can dramatically shift the trajectory of a season. One good win can be the spark that reignites a team, while one bad loss can send them into freefall. Simply put, form shapes everything in football.

Player Availability and Injuries

It’s impossible to overstate how much injuries can disrupt a team. When key players are sidelined, it forces managers to reshuffle their strategies. This can lead to players adapting to unfamiliar roles, and while it can sometimes yield success, it often comes at the expense of rhythm and consistency on the pitch.

Take Bayern Munich’s goalkeeper situation in 2025, for example. With their first-choice keeper Manuel Neuer out, Jonas Urbig stepped in and delivered solid performances. But that resilience doesn’t always exist. Not every team has that kind of depth, and gaps can be exploited by opponents.

Then there are cases that highlight unexpected adaptability, like Tara McKeown of the Washington Spirit, who successfully switched from being a forward to a centre-back. These shifts aren’t common, though, and teams feeling the strain of constant injuries often slip into a slump. Fatigue, pressure, and psychological effects tend to pile up, adding to the struggle.

Keeping a squad healthy is one of the cornerstones for success. For bettors, getting early updates about major injuries and understanding how teams cope without key players can make a huge difference.

Tactical Approaches and Coaching Styles

Football/soccer tactics are more than just basics like attacking or defending. A manager’s philosophy can shape everything about how a team approaches a game. High-press systems, counter-attacking setups, low blocks… every strategy impacts the flow of play and the likelihood of results.

Successful coaching isn’t just about planning but also the ability to adjust during a game. A team that starts with an aggressive setup might play more conservatively once they take the lead, while sides chasing a result are likely to throw more players forward in the final minutes.

This is why studying Soccer Team Trends This Season trends in team tactics can give you an edge, especially when you’re analysing games to bet on. Some managers stick with rigid systems, while others are more adaptable. Teams that can adjust and respond to different situations are more likely to outperform those that don’t.

Home vs. Away Advantage

Home advantage in football is real, and it’s one of the simplest yet most effective factors to consider. When teams play at home, they enjoy familiar conditions, strong fan support, and avoid the fatigue associated with travel. These elements can often give them a psychological and physical edge.

Take LAFC’s top-seed finish in the 2024 MLS Cup Playoffs. Playing at home gave them a huge advantage and bolstered their performance when it mattered most.

Away games tend to be much tougher. Unfamiliar stadiums, jet lag, and the absence of a home crowd can put visiting teams on the back foot. Savvy bettors know just how decisive this factor can be, especially when teams with contrasting home-and-away form face off.

Head-to-Head Records

Lastly, head-to-head records can often tell you more about upcoming fixtures than recent form. Some teams just seem to have the psychological edge over specific opponents. When teams with a strong historical record against a certain opponent step onto the pitch, that confidence shows.

For example, the US men’s national football team has consistently outperformed several CONCACAF sides like Barbados and Grenada. These patterns matter because they’re often rooted in styles of play or historical dominance, and they regularly carry over into future matches.

On the flip side, a team that regularly struggles against a specific opponent might go into the match already doubting their chances. For analysts, spotting these underlying dynamics can provide extra clarity when evaluating potential match outcomes.

Winning in Football: More Than Just Talent

At the end of the day, football success extends well beyond the skill of the players on the pitch. Momentum, player availability, tactics, home advantage, and historical trends play a massive role. If you’re looking to improve how you analyse matches and spot betting opportunities, understanding these factors is a must. Football isn’t just about the action during the 90 minutes; it’s a chess match of preparation, strategy, and adaptability. And that’s what separates winners from the rest.

Positional Insights Maryland vs Michigan State

Key Positional Insights from Maryland’s Matchup with Michigan State

American Football

Maryland faced Michigan State in a highly anticipated Week 2 matchup at their home field, seeking to build on their dominant win from the previous week. The game, held on Saturday, saw fans filling the stadium hoping to watch the Terrapins continue their strong start to the season.

However, despite leading by a touchdown in the fourth quarter, Maryland ultimately fell short, losing 27-24. While the loss was disappointing, the Terrapins showed flashes of solid play across several key positions, giving reason for optimism moving forward.

This breakdown will take a closer look at the positional performances from Maryland’s matchup with Michigan State, highlighting strengths, weaknesses, and areas for improvement as the season progresses.

Quarterback Performance

Despite the outcome, fans who follow the Maryland Terrapins Odds saw a quarterback who can make a significant impact on the field.  He’s Billy Edwards Jr., who once again proved that he can lead Maryland’s offense effectively.

Completing 26-of-34 passes for 253 yards, two touchdowns, and one interception, Edwards demonstrated poise and accuracy throughout much of the game. His ability to find soft spots in Michigan State’s defense, especially on short and medium routes, kept the chains moving. He also contributed by adding 13 rushing yards and a touchdown.

However, Edwards struggled with his deep passes, overthrowing wide receivers on a few key occasions, which limited Maryland’s ability to stretch the defense. An interception that bounced off Tai Felton’s hands also hurt the team’s momentum.

Still, Edwards’ overall command of the offense suggests he will continue to improve as the season unfolds. His ability to read defenses and make quick decisions is encouraging for Maryland’s future matchups. If Edwards can fine-tune his deep passing game and avoid turnovers, he will be a critical piece of Maryland’s success moving forward.

Running Game Struggles

Maryland’s running backs were unable to replicate the production they showed in Week 1, as the Spartans’ defense bottled up the Terps’ ground attack. Roman Hemby, Nolan Ray, and Colby McDonald combined for just 70 yards on 23 carries, failing to establish a consistent rhythm. This lack of production put additional pressure on the passing game, making it harder for the offense to stay balanced.

One contributing factor to the running backs’ struggles was the offensive line’s inability to create sufficient space. However, there were instances where the backs could have fought for extra yards but failed to capitalize on opportunities. Without a more effective ground game, Maryland’s offense becomes one-dimensional, which can be a problem against stronger defenses later in the season.

Improvement in the run game is crucial if the Terps want to compete with higher-level teams. Both the running backs and the offensive line will need to step up in future games to establish a more consistent rushing attack.

Wide Receiver Highlights

Tai Felton stood out as the top performer in the receiving corps for the second straight week. His 11 receptions for 152 yards and a touchdown highlighted his ability to get open and make plays after the catch. He became the first Terps receiver to surpass 100 yards in his first two games since Dontay Demus Jr. in 2021 and the first to record 150 yards in consecutive games since Jermaine Lewis achieved the feat in 1995.

Kaden Prather, who plays opposite Felton, didn’t have as much of an impact early in the game but finished with five catches for 38 yards. Maryland’s wide receivers as a group were generally solid, though they lacked the same explosiveness outside of Felton’s contributions. Octavian Smith Jr. and Shaleak Knotts also had minor roles but didn’t make a significant impact.

Felton’s continued rise as a top receiver bodes well for Maryland’s passing game. However, the team will need more consistent contributions from the other receivers if they hope to spread the field and keep defenses guessing.

Defensive Line Improvement

One of the positive takeaways from Maryland’s defensive performance was improving the defensive line. After struggling to generate pressure in their previous game, the Terps’ defensive front recorded a sack and consistently disrupted Michigan State’s running game. The line limited the Spartans to 130 rushing yards, a noticeable drop from their previous week’s performance of 183 yards against FAU.

Taizse Johnson’s sack and the defensive line’s ability to contain Michigan State’s top running back, Kay’Ron Lynch-Adams, who was held to just 46 yards, showed significant progress. However, the defense did allow a couple of big runs, including a 30-yard burst from Nate Carter.

Going forward, Maryland’s defensive line will need to maintain this level of pressure, especially as they face tougher offensive lines. Consistency in containing the run and improving the pass rush will be vital to the defense’s success.

Secondary Breakdown

While other positional groups showed promise, Maryland’s secondary struggled significantly. The defensive backs allowed Michigan State quarterback Aidan Chiles to carve them up for 363 passing yards and three touchdowns. Long passes, including a game-changing 77-yard touchdown, exposed gaps in the secondary’s coverage.

Jalen Huskey had a particularly tough day, getting burned on deep passes and committing a penalty that gave Michigan State a crucial opportunity to score right before halftime. The secondary’s inability to cover deep routes and prevent explosive plays ultimately played a large part in the loss.

Despite the three interceptions Maryland managed, the overall performance of the secondary was the weakest link. Addressing these issues will be essential if Maryland hopes to improve defensively in future matchups.

Final Thoughts

While Maryland lost to Michigan State, they performed well in key areas like quarterback play and defensive line pressure. However, this post provides just a snapshot of the game’s key positional insights. Overall the there is a lot to be hopeful for in future performances for Maryland.

Recommended reading – Free Value Betting Software And Trials – Exclusive Offers

6 Of The Best Sports Betting Blogs 2025

There are a lot of sports betting blogs on the internet. With new ones being created on a daily basis.

However when it comes to sports betting blogs there are number of questions. With many sports betting blogs being used to feed useless tips in a bid to make affiliate commissions from losing bettors.

  • Are betting blog really worth reading?
  • Can betting blogs improve your betting?
  • Are there any that actually provide winning strategies and tips?
  • Do people really make money long term from betting?

Yes, yes, yes and yes!

There are some excellent sports betting blogs on the internet.

Here are the ones that I regularly read and believe you should keep an eye on.

Best Sports Betting Blogs 2024 – Which Are Worth Reading?

1.Green All Over

Sports Betting Blogs

This sports betting blog has been around since 2008 making it one of the longest running blogs on this list.

The blog is written by Cassini. An experienced sports bettor who writes frequently about the world of sports betting and trading.

What I really like about this blog is the data which Cassini shares. There is a lot of great information on this blog in relation to sports betting. Cassini shares historical trends. He writes about different concepts and theories of how to approach sports betting,

Cassini does share some of his own betting, with a particular focus on betting the draw in certain situations.

There isn’t a tonne of flash to this blog. But that is part of its charm for me. It is often written with humour and is straight to the point. Cassini has a pretty distinct writing style.

Green All Over is a good read for anyone interested in sports betting.

2.Daily 25

Sports Betting Blogs

Daily 25 is a sports betting blog run by an Aussie named Steve. Initially the blog was about trying to make $25 a day from following betting tipsters. As his betting progressed Steve eventually changed that goal to $250 a day.

This is a really good and transparent blog about trying to make money from betting. It’s not all sunshine and rainbows. From reading you get a really good perspective on the realities of trying to make money from sports betting using tipsters.

One aspect of this blog that I really like is how Steve uncovers the shady aspects of the sports betting world. Showing how tipsters manipulate betting records and how bookmakers track their customers.

It’s a blog that has been around since 2010 so there is a lot of content. If you want to make to start making an income from following betting tipsters, this is an excellent blog to read.

 

3. Pinnacle Sports

Sports Betting Blogs

The next one on the list isn’t exactly an individual’s sports betting blog.

But it is worth highlighting. 

Pinnacle’s sports betting resources page has lots of excellent content regarding sports betting. They have a number of experts in different fields writing for them.

For example Dan Weston the writer of Mastering Tennis Trading provides tennis articles. Renowned sports betting author Joseph Buchdahl is a frequent contributor. Who provides his usual detailed analysis in multiple articles.

The articles written are often well thought out and educational. Pinnacle sports really does something that no other bookmaker does. Educate their customers on how to approach sports betting more professionally.

If you are not already aware of Pinnacles betting resources page. It’s one you should bookmark, as there is a lot of really great content here.

4. Trademate Sports

Trademate Sports is a stand out when it comes to producing video content for sports betting. They have produced numerous in depth interviews with professional sports bettors from all around the globe.

Trademate Betting Blog

Accompanying this is their written blog.

One of the best parts of their blog is betting experts series. Where a number of the best minds in the business of sports betting were asked a number of questions.

There are experts on their list that have won millions betting on sports. With some really interesting questions asked and valuable answers given.

How do you define “finding value” in betting markets?

What is the best method to use to make money from sports betting?

How difficult is it to beat the sports betting markets? How efficient are the odds?

You Can Visit The Trademate Blog Here

5. Oddsjam Blog

Oddsjam Blog

Last on the list of the best best sports betting blogs in 2022 is Oddsjam. Oddsjam are a company that provide software aimed at US based sports bettors that want to make money from the sports betting markets.

Alongside this they also run a blog that has a tonne of informational content available. Covering betting rules for sports such as the UFC, NBA prop betting guides, Understanding closing line value and much more.

For those that are interested in US sports. Oddsjam is a blog that is worth bookmarking.

You Can Visit Oddsjam Here

 Betfair Trading Blogs

The next blog is more related to Betfair Trading. Which is slightly different to the sports betting blogs above. However they share the same goal in that they are trying to profit from the sports betting markets.

I really like the nature of these blogs as they feel more personal with both of the bloggers looking to improve their sports trading skills.

6. Runlike A Drain

Run Like A Drain Blog

Runlikeadrain is a blog written by a man named David. It covers his journey through the world of gambling. From poker to matched betting and currently Betfair trading is a progression that is similar to my own.

It is an interesting blog that goes through the ups and downs of trying to make money from sports trading.

Currently David is attempting to make money from the live horse racing markets on Betfair. he recently managed to break over the £1000 profit in month barrier.

You Can Read The David’s Blog Here

Who Are The Best Sports Betting Bloggers?

Those are six betting blogs that I enjoy reading. I imagine there are some hidden gems out there that I haven’t come across yet. If you have a sports betting blog or enjoy reading one that I haven’t highlighted here.

Put it in the comments section and I will add it to this list!

 

The Biggest Sports Bettors In The World 2023 – 3 Men That Risk Millions Betting On Sport

Recently I was speaking to a friend about sports betting. He asked me who is the “Lionel Messi or Cristiano Ronaldo” of the sports betting world.

It was an interesting question as who are the biggest sports bettors in the world?

The Biggest Sports Bettors In The World

Successful sports bettors don’t tend to glamour for the limelight.

They have their edges in the sports betting markets and make money from it. If they were to reveal their methods and how they make money from sports betting, the markets would react and they would no longer be profitable.

So there is “no world series of sports betting” or “sports betting champions league.”

There are however a few high profile sports bettors that are known among the media.

Billy Walters

The Biggest Sports Bettors In The World

Billy Walters is a big name in American sports betting. It is estimated that Walters has made tens of millions of dollars perhaps even hundreds of millions of dollars. 

Walters was originally for Kentucky. He moved to Las Vegas in the early 1980’s and formed his own betting syndicate.

Walters betting operation was first described in the book “The Smart Money” by Micheal Konik.

Within the book the author goes into detail about Walters (although a pseudonym is used) betting operation. How he used multiple people to get his bets on using multiple accounts.

Difficulties he faced in getting sports books to accept his bets. Alongside the lengths and planning he had to go through to be so successful.

Although he has been largely secretive about his betting operations. He has been covered on ESPN and had a small television segment made about him.

Billy Walters has long been known as one of the biggest sports bettors in Las Vegas. However has most recently been making headlines after being convicted of insider trading.

Tony Bloom And Starlizard

The Biggest Sports Bettors In The WorldTony Bloom is the owner of UK based betting syndicate “Starlizard.”

He is well known name among sharp sports bettors. It is estimated that Starlizard can have as much as £1 million staked on a single outcome of a football match.

Starlizard are known to run their betting operation with same devotion and analytics of a major hedge fund.

Officially Stalizard describe itself as a betting consultancy. Which uses complex statistical models to generate football odds that are sharper than those offered by the Asian bookmakers and betting exchanges.

Alongside profiting from their own bets Starlizard are also known to provide winning football bets to other high rollers.

Bloom isn’t just involved with sports betting and has many other business ventures.

In 2009 he became the chairman of his hometown club  after purchasing 75% stake in the club. Also investing £93 million into developing a new ground.

According to Business Insider UK the bulk of the money used in Stalizard’s operation comes from Tony Bloom. Described as a maths whiz.

He is a veteran gambler and has competed in some of the highest stake poker tournaments around. In the early 2000’s he was estimated to have made millions from setting up online bookmaker and poker websites.

Much like Billy Walters, Tony Bloom is not one for the public limelight. With most articles containing second hand information about his betting activities.

Bloom only chooses to talk with the media about his involvement in Brighton And Hove Albion.

Zeljko Ranogajec

The Biggest Sports Bettors In The World

Zeljko Ranogajec is rumoured to be one of the biggest gamblers in the world. It is estimated that his global annual turnover is more then $1 billion.

Born in Australia in a family of Croatian immigrants. Zeljko first success in gambling came from the game of blackjack.

Allegedly Zeljko Ranogajec turned a bankroll of a few hundred dollars into millions through advantage play. 

He has also had notable wins in the game of Keno winning $7.5 million and in 2011 was inducted into the blackjack hall of fame.

When it comes to sports betting Zeljko Ranogajec is rumoured to bet significant amounts of money on horse racing. It is reported that his turnover accounts for nearly a third of the total for Betfair in Australia.

Ranogajec does not give any interviews.

A lot of the speculation that surrounds him comes from second hand information. As with most large scale sports bettors there is not much for him to gain from revealing information about his betting activities.

Click Here To Receive Free Betting Tips From Proven Winning Tipsters

Who Are Biggest Sports Bettors In The World?

The three sports bettors above are thought to turnover hundreds of millions perhaps billions annually.

In truth though it is hard to know who the biggest sports bettors in the world are. As if you are profiting from sports betting on such a large scale it is in your interest to keep that knowledge to yourself. 

Some of the biggest sports bettor in the world may also not even be winning ones!

I am sure there will a few rich oil merchants or Chinese businessman. Who bet huge amounts of money for thrills without the detailed analysis needed to be successful.

So whist little is known about the biggest sports bettors in the world.

There are at least a few individuals that rumoured to be beating the sports betting markets on a massive scale.

Interested in sports betting, matched betting, advantage play or trading?

Read my attempt at making £1,000,000 from sports betting.

 

Further Reading

How Billy Walters became sports most successful and controversial bettor

Inside Starlizard: The story of Britain’s most successful gambler and the secretive company that helps him win

Zeljko Ranogajec

 

 

 

 

Football Accumulator Betting – Can It Be Profitable?

Football Accumulator Betting, can it be profitable long term?

My earliest introduction to sports betting was watching my dad, betting slip in hand anxiously waiting for Saturday’s football results to come in.

Every now and again he would hit a decent sized winner but I remember most weeks were losers.

“If only Chelsea would have won, I would have made over 100 quid”

“Can’t believe Liverpool didn’t win, one short of 250 big ones”

“F****** Arsenal couldn’t even beat my Sunday league team, could have won close to a grand if it wasn’t for them.”

The above is the reality for the majority of punters that bet regularly on accumulators, losing what looks to be a small fortune even when using using bet calculators like Ace Odds.

However there are ways to make your football accumulator betting profitable and we will cover that in this article.

Why Bookmaker’s Love Punters That Bet On Accumulators

There is a reason that bookmakers love this type of bet and that is because normally there is no value at all for the punter.

Whilst the bookmaker retains a huge edge.

Below is a video from Caan Berry which explains why accumulator bets in general are very poor.

To summarize the video.

Bookmakers love accumulator bets because it compounds the margin that they have on each bet.

What is a margin?

The bookmakers margin is the reason that they make a profit.

Football Accumulator Betting

Oddsportal highlight a bookmaker’s margin in the area payout.

You can see that most bookmaker’s take somewhere between a 5% to 1% margin on most big European football matches.

If we look at Pinnacle’s margin for example at 97.7%.

This means that if you were to back every outcome that Pinnacle are offering on the Lens vs Lille game you would lose 2.3% of your total stake.

So if we spread out £100 across all 3 outcomes

We would lose £2.30

In a perfectly fair market all outcomes would add up to 100% meaning that if you backed every outcome you would break even on all selections.

Any market that adds up to over 100% becomes an arbitrage bet, which means it is possible to back every outcome and secure a profit.

Football Accumulator Betting Margin

As Caan points out in the video. When an accumulator is placed with a bookmaker the margin that they have compounds with each bet.

You can see that by taking the fair prices of these events from the betting exchanges you get odds of 259.5.

Looking at the odds given by the sports book for the same accumulator you can see the odds are 190.5.

This is a pretty big discrepancy and highlights why bookmakers love punters that bet on accumulators.

In general they are very bad value for the punter.

Football Accumulator Betting – How To Win Long Term

The way to make money from sports betting is pretty simple.

It is all about getting value from the odds that you are taking.

This means that we need to take odds that indicate a higher percentage of an event occurring then the actual chance of that event occurring.

Let’s look at a very simple example.

England are playing the Faroe Islands and a bookmaker opens England at 2.0 (Giving England a 50% of winning the game.)

England Betting

99% of football fans would instinctively know that England’s chance of beating the Faroe Islands are better then 50% and those odds offer a huge amount of value.

England’s chances of winning that game would probably be closer to 90%.

This bet would obviously be huge value, as the odds offered don’t accurately represent the true probability of England winning the game.

Now unfortunately bookmakers very rarely make huge mistakes like this.

However they do make smaller mistakes and sometimes they will also offer promotions which make an accumulator a profitable bet.

Putting Multiple Value Selections Together

Let’s start with the easiest way to make profitable football accumulator bets.

Taking advantage of bookmaker boosts.

Profitable Football Accumulator Bets

The majority of the major European bookmakers offer boosted accumulators on almost a daily basis.

Above is this weekend’s boosted accumulator from Skybet.

It has Bournemouth, Brentford and Tottenham all to win at odds of 8.0.

Let’s have a look at how to determine a fair market price for this accumulator

One of the best way to determine this to look at the price currently shown on one of the betting exchanges. Betting exchanges are a good indicator of what the market feels is the fair price of a selection at that time.

Adding these prices together gives a good indication of what the fair price of the accumulator should be.

Tottenham Odds

The fair price is often between the back best price 2.06 and lay price 2.08.

For simplicity I take the lay price of each selection and input them into a accumulator calculator from the site aceodds.

You can see adding the 3 lay prices together gives out fair odds for the accumulator as 6.5.

Whilst Skybet are offering odds of 8.0.

This suggests that the accumulator offered is very good value and that by betting these type of boosts long term you will make money.

This is really the best way for the majority of people to make their football accumulator betting profitable.

Determining Value And Betting Them As An Accumulator

Just as a bookmaker’s edge compounds with each poor value selection.

Exactly the same happens to the sports bettor that is able to find profitable edges and combine them with other each other.

That profitable edge is compounded.

Now finding a profitable edge at a bookmaker is a topic for a completely other article.

From my own experience there are some area’s that are easier to find value in then others.

For example lower league football, corners markets, cards markets, player markets etc.

Are much easier to find good value bets in compared to the major 1×2 markets that often have millions of pounds bet on them.

Example

In the above accumulator a mixture of using a bookmaker’s promotions and finding value in the market created a profitable accumulator bet.

The bookmaker was offering the Chelsea vs Real Madrid game at a boosted 100% margin, so one selection was taken that was showing as the lay price on the betting exchanges.

Two tips were taken from a lower league English football tipster that had a profitable long term record.

Juventus and Slavia were both lay prices on the exchange.

Then on top of this the bookmaker in question offers a 15% boost on accumulators of 5 selections that are odds above 1.5

Combining the first strategy of using a bookmakers promotions and then also by also finding value in one of the less efficient football markets (lower league English football.)

Enabled a football accumulator bet that had a lot of value.

Odds were of 25 were offered for this selection when in reality the odds should have been closer to 20.

Football Accumulator Betting – Conclusion

In this article we have looked at why in general accumulator bets are not a good way to make money long term from the sports betting markets.

However we have also shown that in the right circumstances. Football accumulator betting can be a great way of extracting some value from a bookmaker.

Like all profitable betting strategies, successful football accumulator is about taking a calculated risk and only betting when the edge is in your favour.

 

Over The Last 4 Years I Have Made Over £100,000 Profit From The Sports Betting Markets.

Click Here To Learn About The Strategies I Have Used.

Best Football Prediction Sites For Betting 2022

Best football prediction sites

The football betting markets are are huge.

Billions of pounds are wagered every year on football, it is a sport where if you can find an edge.

Then that edge can make you a lot of money as we have seen from football traders such as Paulo Rebelo and Psychoff.

In this article we are going to take a look at the best football prediction sites for betting.

How useful are these sites when looking to make money from betting/trading on football?

Best football prediction sites

Best Football Prediction Sites For Betting

There are thousands of football prediction sites available on the internet.

However the vast majority are tipping websites that offer very little value. They give out predictions with very little analysis and are generally a poor resource if you are looking to find an edge.

So what are the best football prediction sites for betting?

 

In the above video.

Professional Betfair trader Caan Berry recommends infogol as a useful resource if you are attempting to make money from the football betting markets.

Seems like a good place to start, let’s take a look at what Infogol has to offer.

Best Football Prediction Sites – Pre Match Betting

Infogol

What makes Infogol stand out above the hundreds of other football betting prediction sites?

First off is the amount of data that is available on Infogol, it isn’t just the standard “we pick team A to win, bet here with Bet365” which you get with the majority of sites.

Best Football Prediction Sites

On Infogol there is quite a lot of data to dig into.

For instance you can look how teams are performing using the XG (expected goals) metric. There is also an expected league position ranking based around XG.

Both of these metrics can be used to give an indication if a team maybe under or over performing.

This is useful to know as there maybe some bias in the betting markets which could be exploited.

Infogol also have their own pre match model which uses expected goals alongside other metrics to assess how likely it is that a team will win.

Best Football Prediction Sites Infogol

You can also find all the usual data such as head to head stats, winning streaks, losing streaks etc.

However what sets Infogol’s pre match statistics, data and predictions apart from the majority. Is the expected goal models and depth of data that is available.

Blogabet

Another site that I use for finding useful information on pre match betting predictions is Blogabet.

It isn’t a statistical prediction site like Infogol.

Blogabet relies on its users to provide predictions. It is a tipster platform that is very popular and allows people to write up their analysis and make betting predictions.

Often you can get really good information on team news and specialists in the some of the smaller niche betting markets.

What I like about Blogabet is that there are a number of really good free betting tipsters. That often give out information that has not been fully accounted for yet in the betting markets.

Blogabet

This is the type of betting analysis I like to look at with Blogabet.

A site like infogol can give you a indication of when a team looks to have an advantage using statistical analysis. Whilst a site like blogabet can reveal information that might not be commonly known.

Combining the information from both is good way to find value in the betting markets.

Blogabet Tipster

Here is an example of the type of tipster I like to follow.

They have a 5% yield over 1683 bets which is a good sample size. This tipster does very well in the South American leagues being profitable in the Bolivian, Argentinian, Costa Rician and Ecuadorian leagues.

Blogabet allows you to take an in depth look at a tipsters record. Allowing you to see which leagues they are profitable in.

Which bookmakers they use and which bookmakers they are profitable with.

Oddsmath

For pre match betting Infogol and Blogabet are both excellent resources that I think are very valuable. An added resource that I like to use to track odds movement is Oddsmath.

The reason I like Oddsmath is that it gives me a visual representation of how odds have moved for various markets.

I find this useful as if I get some information on team news that maybe valuable. Using Oddsmath I can see if the market has reacted to this already.

Oddsmath use

Timestamps on the movement of odds allow me to see when the odds started to move. 

Whilst Oddsmath isn’t a predictions site it is an excellent resource that combined with Infogol or blogabet may give you an edge.

Combining all three resources could allow you to find a profitable betting strategy.

For example if Infogol’s model is showing there is value available at current odds. You can use this alongside a site like oddsmath.com . To see if that team are shortening in odds ( an indication they may be value.)

Along with checking team news and looking at blogabet.com to see if  there are any profitable tipsters that like the same selection or have additional information on the game.

 

Best Football Prediction Sites – In Play Betting

When it comes to finding a prediction site that could aid you with in-play betting.

There are a number of sites that track statistics such as number of shots, shots on target, corners, free kicks and possession.

Flashscore is a good example of a site that does the above and also notifies you of when a goal is scored.

The majority of betting sites such as Bet365, William Hill etc also provide this type of in-play analysis.

For in-play statistics again its Infogol that stands out.

They provide in-play goal maps which provides you with the time of the chance created, player name and the probability of a goal being scored. This gives a lot of added depth over the standard shots on/off target count that the majority of sites offer.

Infogol in-play stats

 

Infogol still provide the standard type of statistics that you see from the majority of other in-play statistics providers. However again infogol add a little more depth with the addition of blocked shots, goalkeeper saves, completed passes and total passes.

When it comes to the best football prediction site for in-play betting infogol stands out.

Making money from the football betting markets isn’t easy. If you are aiming find profitable football bets/trades then you are going to want to use some of the best resources available to you.

Have any other football prediction sites that are worth a mention?

Let me know in the comment section below.

Click Here To Visit Infogol

Click Here To Visit Blogabet

 

Sports Betting Scams – 5 Scams You Need To Be Aware Of

Sports betting scams!

Its hard enough to make money from the sports betting markets as it is.

The fact that it is also a market that attracts conmen and scammers is also something that you need to be aware of.

I fell for a scam early in my betting career lets try and make sure it doesn’t happen to you.

Lets take take a look at some common sports betting scams that you need to be aware of.

Investing in a Sports Trading Fund Scam

First off I should mention that there are legitimate sports betting and trading funds.

But generally if you get approached by someone on social media looking for investment in a sports trading fund its going to be a scam.

5 Betting Scams

 

Here is a good example of this type of  sports betting scam.

It is somebody offering “wallet mangement.”

Basically what this scammer suggests is that you send them money or give them access to your betfair accounts and they will trade on your behalf. Giving you a percentage of his winnings for doing so.

Tennis betting Scam

So this is a bad idea for a lot of reasons.

Giving someone else access to your betting accounts or sending them money under the premise of “wallet management.”

Always puts you in a very bad position. They can just easily just keep the money and disappear or if accessing your account lose that money into there own account.

Also it makes zero sense for a profitable sports bettor/trader to take such small investment and payout so much profit. Surely anyone that is making money from sports betting/trading can increase their bankroll from the profits made.

Here is a high profile case similar to this regarding the “Betfair King” scammer.

Betfair King Scam

Investing In a Sports Arbitrage Fund Scam

Next up is a scam that is very similar to the first one however it is under the guise of investing in a sports arbitrage fund.

Sports arbitrage betting is a great way to make money from the sports betting markets and I have written about it in depth here.

However again there is almost no reason at all as to why somebody would require investment for sports arbitrage.

Here is an article regarding the company the “Winning express” which pretended to a sports arbitrage betting fund.

Winning Express Scam

Sports Arbitrage Scam

The company was promoted by ex-Premiership footballers Steve Claridge and David Hirst it offered investors large, risk-free returns.

Investors in The Winning Express were guaranteed a 2% tax-free interest per month. 

The Winning Express was allegedly run by a man named Graham Bradbury. Bradbury had previously been banned from being a company director for running a pyramid scheme.

Winning Express eventually closed in 2016.

This was a sports betting scam that left a lot of its “investors” being owed large sums of money.

Affiliate Tipsters

I have covered affiliate betting tipsters like Badman Betting previously however tipsters such as these are still pretty prevalent in the sports betting industry.

There are tipsters out there that basically work alongside bookmakers.

They do this by sending bookmakers new customers and getting paid a percentage of their losses.

This basically gives them an incentive to provide poor value tips in order for them to get make money.

Often you will see these types of tipsters running silly challenges such turn “£10 into £1000 in 10 days.”

Another favourite is to tip big accumulators which again tend to be very poor value.

Affiliate Betting Scam

Is this an outright sports betting scam?

Maybe, maybe not?

However I don’t think it benefits betting punters and i do think its pretty unethical as I know most people that follow these type of tips aren’t aware that those providing them recieve commission on reffered player losses.

Fake Betting Review Sites Scam

Now this is an interesting one and probably one you might not be aware of.

Its a scam I wasn’t ware of until I got duped by it and then did my homework.

Last time I wrote about these guys they pursued legal action so I can’t name them exactly (don’t want to waste time/money on legal advice.) 

However I can point out red flags to look out for.

Fake Betting Review Scam

 

I’ll start with how I fell for this scam.

Quite a few years ago I was looking on a betting review site and came across a betting product that I had never seen before. It had rave reviews and the site was also recommending a matched betting product that I was already using.

That gave me some confidence that they were legitimate.

So I bought the product and it was terrible…………………….. really really terrible.

Basically it was the martingale system on sports betting………………… and that was it.

I spent £50 for that.

Immediately I felt incredibly stupid and asked for a refund, which was denied.

Paypal wouldn’t issue a refund as it was a digital product.

Hindsight

After digging a bit deeper I came to realise that the review site was created by the same person that was creating these scam betting products.

I left a few comments on the fake review site to see if they would show up.

They never did.

I also went on a few betting forums and asked if anyone else had been duped by this site.

Quite a few people had exactly the same experience as myself so it became clear what this person was doing.

He was giving his own products favourable reviews on his “review site” and creating fake profiles/comments to give out the impression that they offered value and were profitable.

Then choosing to block any real feedback on the product he had created.

In hindsight I should have questioned why no other review site was recommending it?

If it was really as good as the review site made out then much like matched betting it would have been everywhere.

Sometimes you just have to learn from these things and move on.

So yeah this was quite an elaborate sports betting scam but its one to be aware of.

Buying “Fixed Games Information” Scam

“Hey bro you wanna get some information on a fixed game? £50 and it yours”

“I’m ok bro thanks.”

Fixed game scam

I still get emails/social media messages like these from time to time.

Sometimes its a dude from Africa ,sometimes Asia, sometimes Eastern Europe.

The old paying for information on a fixed game scam.

Now do fixed games in football and other sports exist?

Yes they certainly do but do these criminal syndicates that organise them go around harrassing people on social media or through email looking to sell that information.

Probably not.

Again just using some common sense, if you had information on a fixed game then you could make a tonne of money betting on it.

It would make little sense to go around offering that information and potentially alerting more people to the fact the game is fixed.

Learn Real Methods For Making A Profit From The Sports Betting Markets

There we have it 5 betting scams that you should be aware of.

Although there are a lot of ways to lose money in the sports betting markets it is not impossible to make a decent income with the right strategies.

If you are interested in making a profit from the sports betting markets I have written two guides to help you do so.

 

Why Social Media Tipsters Want You To Lose

If you like to bet on sports and are on social media you will have probably noticed there are a huge amount of tipsters and challenges going on.

One of the most common challenges is to take a relatively small amount of money say £10 and attempt to turn it into a £1000. This is done by rolling over your stake with each bet until a profit of £1000 is made.

Why Social Media Tipsters Want You To Lose

Challenges like these have become very popular with a number of these pages having hundreds of thousands of followers. Now I understand why these challenges are popular its like buying a lottery ticket. You have a small initial layout with the potential for a big win. One big thing a lot of these tipsters and pages fail to mention is they want you to lose.

Social Media Tipsters

This is how they make money. The business model for these twitter tipsters or facebook pages is to make an income as a bookmaker affiliate. Enticing new customers and being given a share of their losses is where their profit is made. Normally it will be between 10-30% of a referred players losses.

Whilst they might “boom” every winning tip and tell you they have made thousands in the past two weeks. Over the long term they only make money if you lose. Do you really want to follow betting tips from someone that profits only if you consistently lose? Seems like that would be a bad idea.

Social Media Tipsters

You will consistently see these types of tipsters pushing bookmaker sign ups. Claiming big profits whilst never recording past results and highlighting wins but barely acknowledging losses. 

In conclusion following these types of challenges and tipsters is not going to make you money in the long term. Possibly you could get lucky and turn £25 into £1000 or you might go on to lose £2500 by following a 100 of these challenges that don’t come off. The only people that are making money from these challenges are the guys running these twitter accounts and facebook pages. Not the people following them.

Is it possible to make money from sports betting?

So can you actually make money from sports betting?

Yes you can but it isn’t as easy as following some dude who says he will turn £10 into a £1000 in 10 bets.

It is said that only 1% of people betting on sports make a profit. If you compare the popularity of these tipsters and pages to the small amount of people following websites/blogs that give out solid sports betting advice. It’s easy to why the overwhelming majority of people lose money betting.

Social Media Tipsters
Matched betting profits from April 2017

If actually making money from sports betting and trading does appeal to you. An effective and profitable approach to take is matched betting. 

I have written an article detailing how to make money from matched betting here. This approach uses bookmaker promotions to guarantee a profit. There are hundreds of these offers available and if you are looking to make some extra money this is a great way to do it. It is probably the most consistent way to make money from sports betting.

Something else you may want to consider is looking into betting exchanges and sports trading. I have outlined how betting exchanges function is this article. In general they will offer you much better odds. They differ to bookmakers as they don’t make money on player losses. Rather they take a commission on winning bets or stakes which means that they also don’t ban winning accounts.

Please share this article if you know people that are following these shady social media tipsters. So at least they become aware they are betting on the advice of people that want them to lose.

If you want to start profiting from sports betting and trading. I recommend this service which currently contributing the biggest profit in my 50k in a year challenge.