The bad man tipster – how he profits when you lose
I met up with an old friend recently who shares a an interest in sports betting much like me. He started to tell me how he was following a tipsters that turns £25 into a £1000.
“What’s his name,” I asked.
“The bad man tipster.” He replied.
So it peaked my interest and I thought I would do a little research.
The Bad Man Tipster – Scam Or Legit?
Now if read my blog you might have seen why social media tipsters want you to lose.
You probably already know what I am going to write. These tipsters basically work for bookmakers in essence and want to you to lose.
The Badman Tipster makes money when you lose. If you actually make money then he doesn’t make a penny.
He works as an affiliate for bookmakers and makes a commission on the losses of every punter he sends. If he only sends winning punters then he doesn’t make any money at all.
The Casual Gambler reports that he lost 57, £25-£1000 challenges in a row.
This would have lost £1425 for anyone following his selections. In honesty though the losses since his inception will in my opinion likely be far more. Tipsters that run this sort of business model will never track their record publicly or proof it anywhere.
Because its in their best interest not to. They don’t want to document how much money people are losing following their bets.
The Bad Man Tipster Odds
Another shady aspect of this tipster is that they don’t even post the odds they bet at.
“I recommend placing the bet between odds of 1.25 (1/4) and 1.50 (1/2).” (The Bad Man Tipster)
Obviously there is a huge difference between winning a bet at 1.25 or 1.5. Especially when you are rolling over your bankroll for the next bet. Putting such a wide margin of odds on their selections means they can easily manipulate a challenge.
If the goal comes late they can claim they got on at 1.5, if a goal is scored instantly they took it at 1.25.
There is just no transparency and its obviously easy for them claim what they want.
You will also see that he only states Bet365 as an option for the bet.
If you are serious about turning a profit from your betting you need to find the best odds for every bet. Often you will find that Bet365 don’t have the best in-play odds and you would have been better off betting at a betting exchange like Betfair.
But as Bet365 are the best bookmaker for tipsters that make money as affiliates. You won’t see them touting the best odds for each selection.
Again when they get paid for your losses why would they want show you how to give yourself the best chance of being profitable.
There are thousands of these tipsters around. All pushing affiliate links and doing silly challenges.
My advice is don’t follow any of them.
Unless you are fine with giving money to a guy that provides losing betting tips.
For me personally its like paying someone £20 to come and kick me in the balls. Hoping there’s a tiny chance that they slip knock themselves unconscious and £1000 falls out of their pocket in the process.
Its just a bit silly.
The truth about successful sports betting is that is a long grind. Its about finding value bets and gradually increasing your bankroll over time.
You can’t turn £25 into £1000 with ease.
Rolling over your stake after each bet is never a good idea.
What these tipster affiliates do is play on human nature.
People want to win big and they want it quickly. So whilst dangling the carrot of “12 bets and you will win £1000” seems appealing. Over the long term your going to lose a lot of money chasing that £1000.
Sure you might get lucky but the odds are against you.
Some of these tipsters have massive followings.
For example The Badman Tipster has 271k followers on twitter and 336k followers on Facebook. So you can imagine how much money this guy is making from giving out losing tips.
Stack The Odds In Your Favour
If you really want to make money from sports betting.
Then you should look at matched betting.
This is a legitimate, low risk way of consistently making profits from the sports betting markets. It utilizes bookmaker promotions against them.
It is as close to risk free betting as you can get.
I can promise you that it is a much more effective way of money betting rather then following these tipsters.
Here is an article explaining exactly how matched betting works.
In the meantime please share this article with anyone that follows these clown tipsters.
It would be cool if what these people do could become common knowledge.
People would lose a lot less money following these individuals and in turn these tipsters would make much much less from their shady bookmaker affiliate deals.
Ryan is a former mixed martial arts and kickboxing competitor. After finishing university he played online poker and taught English for a living in Thailand for a few years.
Upon returning to England his focus has been on making a living from sports trading, betting and arbitrage. Over the course of 5 years he has managed to make a six figure profit using the strategies discussed on this site.
Ryan runs the sports betting and trading website www.smartsportstrader.com