Tipster Spotlight – July

At Smart Sports Trader the aim has always been to find methods/strategies/ways to make money from the sports betting and casino markets.

Covering matched betting, arbitrage betting, value betting, sports trading and exploiting casino offers

We have shown that there are various ways of taking on these markets and profiting from them.

As a new feature of the website we are going to be looking at some of the most promising betting tipsters from around the internet.

Let’s take a look at the tipsters featured in July’s tipster spotlight.

STAHObettor

Stahobettor

Stahobettor is a tipster that focuses on the Polish football markets.

Providing tips for a variety of different Polish leagues and a variety of different markets.

Currently they offer free selections through Telegram, you can find Stahobet on twitter at https://twitter.com/SObettor

Stahobettor Results

From the start of June Stahobettor has produced a small profit with a 4.2% after 52 bets.

Which doesn’t look that impressive on first glance but it is a very small sample size.

 

Stahobettor Results

Stahobettor is definitely a quality over quantity tipster.

The most impressive part of his selections are the reasoning behind the bets and his knowledge of Polish football.

Stahobettor is often able to crush the closing line by large amounts due to his knowledge and the information he receives.

Here is an example below.

This bet was tipped at 2.2 which Betvictor however I took it a little later with Asian Odds.

Podbeskie

Here is the market on Betfair shortly before the game began.

Stahobettor Betfair

This selection wasn’t a one off as Stahobettor has been consistently able to tip selections that would close at a much shorter price.

The ability to do this over and over again is a big indicator that a tipster is going to be profitable.

In my opinion Stahobettor is easily one of the best free tipsters I have come across on the internet.

Are Soft Bookmaker Accounts Needed?

For some of Stahobettor’s selctions you will need soft bookmaker accounts. 

Some selections for example were only available at Bet365, like with most tipsters having access to soft bookmakers allows you to get the best price possible.

However not all selections require soft bookmakers especially in the Polish Ekstraklasa (Top Division) where I found I could bet with Asian Odds or the exchanges.

Conclusion

Stahobettor is an excellent tipster.

If you follow his bets then it is likely your soft bookmaker accounts will be limited eventually.

However that is not a negative it is just the reality of betting with these bookmakers, if you are profitable then they don’t want you as a customer.

Also as stated above you can still follow some of his selection using the betting exchanges and Asian bookmakers.

Stahobettor gets a recommendation from me as I have little doubt that long term you will make money following his selections.

Stahobettor Twitter

The Basketball Geek

The second tipster that we looked at in June was the Basketball Geek from the Betting Gods platform.

As you expect from its name this tipster focuses specifically in the Basketball markets.

Basketball Geek Results

Since the beginning of June there have been 207 bets with a profit of £218 to £10 stakes.

Something Betting Gods have been guilty of in the past is having very wide variable staking with some of their previous tipsters. 

Which resulted in some tipsters staking 10 points on selections at odds of 9.00 then following that with a 1 point stake on a selection at odds 2.0. 

This didn’t make a lot of sense and lead to questionable long term roi figures that were heavily influenced by one or two big odds selections winning. 

So it’s nice to see a tipster with level staking.

The majority of tips are on handicap lines and the over/under market however there is occasionally a 1×2 selection at higher odds.

Are Soft Bookmaker Accounts Needed?

Much like Stahobettor these selections are not in markets with a lot of liquidity so soft bookmaker accounts are a big benefit.

Bet365 probably being one of the most important as they are generally slower to lower there odds.

If you are quick to bet selections. I have often been able to match the quoted odds using Asian bookmakers.

Having looked at Betting exchanges there is often very little money in the markets so that doesn’t look like a viable way of betting these selections.

The Basketball Geek sends out selections at 08.00 everyday with the odds available at a number of bookmakers.

Odds do tend to generally shorten throughout the day so to be able to bet them early is beneficial.

Occasionally I have also found that a better price is available with one bookmaker.

Conclusion

I have been impressed so far with the Basketball Geek.

He seems to have a clear edge betting in the basketball markets.

Again as mentioned previously with Stahobettor’s selections. Long term betting these selections with soft bookmakers is going to see your account limited eventually.

But that shouldn’t put you off, as its an inevitability that if your a profitable sports bettor this is going to happen.

The Basketball Geek looks to a be a very promising tipster and is one that we going to continue to monitor.

Click Here If You Want To Trial The Basketball Geek For 15 Days

 

(If you are running a profitable tipster service and would like to be featured in the tipster spotlight. Send an email to [email protected]

(This article features affiliate links. This means that if you choose to make a purchase, I will earn a commission. This commission comes at no additional cost to you. I use or have used any product I review. If I recommend them it is because I believe they are helpful, useful and offer value to their customers. Please do not spend any money on these products unless you feel they will give you value or that they will help you achieve your goals.)

Making A Million From Sports Betting And Trading – May Results

Sports are gradually returning and things are looking up from a sports betting/trading perspective.

Again my main focus this month was on casino offers but the return of German football has been a welcome one!

Sports Betting and Trading Challenge

Looking ahead June promises the return of the Premier League along with other football. 

This brings more value betting opportunities and also matched betting opportunities which in turn should mean there is more profit to be made.

But for now let’s take a look at results from May in the ongoing making a million from the sports betting markets challenge.

Advantage Play – Casino Offers

Let’s start with where most of the profit came from in May.

In May I did 235 offers.

A total profit £1372 was made. 

Another solid month of profit from casino offers and I got the chance to check out a new service Bonus Accumulator, which I was impressed with. They highlighted pretty much all the offers that I been previously manually working out and seem on top of finding as much value as possible from casino offers.

So going forward that will be the service that I use to exploit casino offers.

Casino Offers May

If you are still not taking advantage of casino offers and interested in leaning more.

I have linked a video and article below which should be helpful.

Article – Make Money From Casino Bonuses

Video – How I Profit From Casino Offers

Service Used

Bonus Accumulator (Click Here For The Review)

Subscription Cost – £12.50 a month  (Annual Subscription)

Matched Betting – Sports Offers, Arbitrage, Value Betting

There were a few matched betting offers around and I managed to pick up some value bets.

Although it didn’t seem like the market was able to adjust to there being no crowd. So relying on the market price to indicate value might not have been the best idea.

You could see this as starting prices in football didn’t seem to mean much and there were massive adjustments made in-play after 10 mins in the match odds market.

During May I made 59 bets.

A loss of -£127 was made.

Services Used

Oddsmonkey (Click Here For The Review)

Subscription Cost – £12.50 a month (Annual Subscription)

Bookie Bashing

Sports Betting Results

In May I made a total of 24 bets.

A loss of £45 was made.

During May I had a look through my long term betting results as for the last year I have been a losing sports bettor.

I also delved deeper into my long term stats dating back to 2017.

Betting Results

From the graph I can see that I am performing well betting MMA and also in-play MMA/Football over the long term (This is shown as No Sport on Bettin.gs.)

Although the sample of bets isn’t huge it looks like my pre match football bets (red line on the graph) are not really making any money. 

It makes sense going forward to increase my bet size on Mixed Martial Arts and leave betting pre-match on football alone. I am very confident in my edge betting MMA markets but obviously football markets are a lot sharper.

Hopefully this change should see a decent profit made over the coming year.

Services

Previously I had been using Trade On Sport and FTS Racing. I won’t be using these services until sport resumes in normal form. Both are good services and I am confident long term they will be profitable but during this period I want to be cautious. 

My main focus is going to be on area’s that I am confident I have a large edge in ( Casino offers, mma betting, pre-match trading.)

Results

Matched Betting – Sports Offers

£-127

Advantage Play – Casino Offers

£1372

Trading Results

-£46

Sports Betting

-£45

Total Made In May

£1156

Overall Profit Since The Challenge Began

£83,537

Remaining Target

£916,463

Thoughts Going Forward

Got to admit I have been pretty disappointed with results this year after doing really well last year, I hoped that momentum would continue.

However at the end of the day it is only betting and with everything that’s happened I should really be grateful for everything that I have already. For a lot of people that live on this world there is no opportunity to make money from the sports betting world. 

In fact there is very little opportunity for them at all.

Puts things into perspective, anyway moving on to June.

The return of the Premier League is sure to bring more matched betting offers to the table and should be some good pre-match trading opportunities.

Thanks for reading, hope you have a profitable June.

 

How To Retire At Forty

I turned 30 last December and it really got me thinking about my plans for the next ten years.

“A job isn’t something that you enjoy. its something that you turn up to in order to pay the bills.”

This is something that my dad said to me growing up. At the time when my dad said this to me it didn’t make much sense.

Now that I myself am a father and husband it makes even less.

I remember my dad wasn’t the happiest person growing up. Spending 40 hours a week doing something that you really dislike probably does that to a person.

Since September of 2017 I returned to full time work.

Anyone that does matched betting and arbitrage will know that you make about 70-80% of your profits on the weekend. Whilst casino offers can be done pretty much anytime.

So I made the decision to go back to work four days a week.

Financially it made a lot of sense.

Now I don’t hate my work. It has some positives but probably like most people I don’t really enjoy being there.

Do I want to be there for the next 10 years of my life?

Hell no!

I would love to be able to work part time doing something I enjoy and have other investments subsidize the loss of a full time wage.

How To Retire At Forty

My plan is to become financially self sufficient by the time I am forty.

By reinvesting the money I make from trading, betting and arbitrage. Alongside creating other more passive incomes much like this blog.

To maintain my current lifestyle that would mean I would need to make around £30,000 a year. However that is a low estimate and obviously a lot could change in the next ten years.

Most people would agree that your output is dependent on the things that you consistenly read,hear and talk about.

The majority of what I read online comes into these categories.

Entrepreneurship

Passive Income

Early Retirement

Frugality 

So that should put me in pretty good stead but I don’t really put enough of what I read into practice.

For example if I look at entrepreneurship. I like most people have had hundreds of ideas over the years for a potential business or passive income.

Not saying they were all great.

But how many have I actually acted on?

Two………………..

This blog being one of those.

Even then it took me about two years between actually thinking about writing a blog around making money from sports betting. To actually buying a domain and writing content.

The second was ramping up my matched betting/arbitrage operation. Which in hindsight has probably cost me a lot of money as the value of offers has decreased over time.

This is something that I am going to tackle this year. Be way more active in attempting to produce further incomes.

Outside of the sports betting markets.

Embracing Frugality

There are various early retirement calculators out there.

For example this one from networthify.

But the premise is pretty simple. Have more money coming in then is going out. Invest your savings and allow compound interest to keep adding up. Eventually it will get to the point where the interest from your savings will cover your expenses.

Now of course that are a lot more variables to look at. Everybody has different lifestyles, assets and expenses. 

However it seems like the most accessible way for most people to get to early retirement (myself included) is by saving money.

I have always been a pretty frugal individual. Even before I started playing poker and betting/trading I had a pretty good idea of value.

You can ask my wife what a cheap skate I am.

“£10,000 on a wedding? Seems kind of stupid for something that lasts one day.”

“Probably better saving that for a deposit on a house”

“£500 for a watch. My phone can tell the fucking time.”

So yeah frugality or being a cheap son of a b**** as others may call it comes pretty naturally to me.

What doesn’t come naturally to me is the boring aspect of saving. Switching insurance, gas, electric, internet providers. I know that potentially this will save me hundreds over a year. So that is something that I should really make an effort with.

Increasing My Areas Of Income

I currently have three incomes.

My betting and trading portfolio

You can read more in depth about this here.

My job

There is room for progression but it would have a negative effect on both my betting and trading portfolio. Alongside this blog and any further projects I would like to work on.

I have always viewed my work as something that pays the bills. While I try to scale up my ability to make an full time income online. Whether this has/or will pay dividends in the long run I am not too sure.

This blog

Smartsportstrader.com is probably the area of income that I could scale up the most. I currently make a small revenue from this site.

Mostly by being an affiliate for both Oddsmonkey and Profit Maximiser. Two services which provide the tools for making good money from the sports betting markets.

The beauty of the internet though is that there is always a broader audience to reach out. Whilst I am quite happy with the regular stream of traffic I get to this blog. I have become a little lazy with it. When there was only 10 or 20 people a day reading it. I was much more consistent in putting out content. Now there are a few hundred visitors a day I generally put up something once or twice a month.

Sam Priestley wrote a great blog post called Ethical online business – make money whilst sticking to your morals.

This really sums up how I feel about affiliation in the sports betting world. The people that make the most money are the ones that exploit problem gamblers.

Be this tipsters promoting bookmakers on a revenue share or review sites highlighting tipsters that have had one great month but are overall going to lose money.

You can make way more money exploiting the undisciplined punter or problem gambler.

Rather then showing that in order to really make money from the sports betting markets. Discipline and a long term view are key.

The truth is there are only a few good services that really offer value. So my options for increasing revenue to this site ethically is really to reach a broader audience and keep plugging matched betting, arbitrage and trading.

Retiring Early

Are you aiming to retire early?

Maybe you have accomplished your goal of early retirement?

If you have any good resources or advice share them in the comments.

Here a few resources that I found helpful 

The shockingly simple math behind early retirement

Early retirement made easy

Small business resources

Create multiple passive income streams

 

 

50K Betting And Trading Challenge – December Results, Goals For 2018

The last month of 2017 has been and gone. Did the betting and trading portfolio continue to bring in a profit?

Matched Betting – Sports Offers, Accumulators, Arbitrage

 

December was a pretty average month if terms of profit from matched betting offers and arbitrage. Running pretty poorly with the advantage betting accumulator refund offers. On a run of 36 consecutive losses at the moment. Would nice if they would turn around in January as that would boost profits quite considerably.

There were 203 matched betting offers, arbs and accumulator bets made in December.

A total profit of £578 was made.

Service Used

Oddsmonkey (Read The Review)

Subscription Cost – £12.50 a month (Annual Subscription)

Advantage Play – Casino Offers

The gods of variance were fairly kind this month with a £431 win from a £10 slots refund. Other then that though it feels pretty much like groundhog day slogging through casino offers. It can seem like you are just chucking money away with loss after loss. Then a one big win will shoot you back into the green.

I took part in 109 offers this month.

A total profit of £902 was made

Service Used

Profit Maximiser (Read The Review)

Subscription Cost – £9.60 a month  (Annual Subscription)

Trading Results

I focused more of my time on pre match trading this month. Looking at getting myself in positions where I think the risk vs reward ratio is favourable. Then relying on the markets to react as they usually do.

My biggest single profit was £44 on the Man City vs Bournemouth game.

A total profit of £160 was made from pre match trading.

Tipster Services

After removing Quentin Franks racing from my portfolio. I was looking at adding some other tipster services to fill the gap. At the moment however given my bankroll and the amount I would be staking it’s not worth it.

I think my time would be better off spent focusing on other areas. For example arbitrage where my money can compound and grow without the variance included with straight betting.

Lots of people seem to frown on arbitrage betting as its the quickest way to get your accounts closed. However there are several bookmaker that I have barely used for matched betting (Stan James, Sportingbet, Marathon.).

Arbitrage allows me to take some value from them before being limited. Makes sense to keep exploiting them until I can’t anymore. Then move on to the higher variance world of straight betting and following tipster services.

Sports Betting Results

In December I made 14 bets.

A total profit of £258 was made.

I should note the Sampdoria vs SPAL game is showing as the 2nd Feb 2099. This seems to be some kind of error with the Bettin.gs software.

Summary 

2017 has been a good year for me personally. I am healthy in a positive relationship and have an awesome little family.

In terms of financial goals I am not hitting the levels of profits I would have liked too. I can’t complain though as I am blessed to be living in a country and a time where these opportunities even exist. 

Not made any leaps in my trading. I just use methods that are relatively low risk and I have found to be consistently profitable in the long run.

My goals for 2018

  • Get out of the house more – I have found myself attached to my laptop way too much in 2017. In 2018 I really want to get out walking and being much more active.
  • Look at other investments – Matched betting, arbitrage and advantage play are great ways of compounding your original investment. In 2018 I really want to look at other ways of compounding my money passively.
  • Scale up pre match trading – I have been pre match trading for years now and feel really comfortable trading these markets. In the match odds markets I could really be using much larger stakes when the big opportunities arise.
  • Write more, develop this blog – Two of my favourite blogs to read are Sam Priestley’s blog and Mr Money Mustache. These are two blogs that I think offer a lot of value and cover really interesting subjects. I would really like to branch out and write about things that aren’t directly related to the sports betting markets. As once you understand Matched Betting, Arbing and Value Betting you have a really solid cornerstone to start making good money.

Results

Matched Betting – Sports Offers

£578

Advantage Play – Casino Offers

£902

Trading Results

£160

Sports Betting

£258

Total Made 

£1898

50k Challenge Remaining Target

£33,636