Making A Million Betting Challenge Archives - Page 2 of 6

Making A Million From Sports Betting 2023 Year In Review

Alright that is another year dusted off in the Making a Million challenge.

Heading into 2023 I was coming off my most profitable year of betting so far, with 2022 showing a profit of £39,845. Going back to last years review I set myself a challenge of pushing towards £50k profit in 2023.

Let’s see if that happened!

Making A Million

Value Betting Results

Last year value betting was the strongest part of the portfolio generating a profit of £33,942.

Value Betting 2023

This year whilst it was still profitable results were quite different and there was a lot more volatility throughout the year.

After a total of 3168 bets a profit of £8027 was made from value betting.

Let’s take a look at last years graph for comparison.

Value Betting 2022

About 2000 less bets this year but my approach was exactly the same. Look to beat the closing line consistently with various methods, stakes were also the same as last year.

The difference I think pretty much comes down to variance and perhaps the markets that I am betting in have changed slightly. Last year I did note that I felt I was running over expectation and this year I think things evened out and I ran below what was expected.

Won’t be changing this strategy because it is still profitable, hopefully will get a better run of things this year.

You Can Learn More About Value Betting Here.

MMA

I was pretty surprised when I looked at the graph for 2023 because I performed way better betting mixed martial arts then I thought I did. However all the profit came in the first half of the year which you will see is a recurring theme throughout this post

In total I made 111 bets and a total profit of £5555 was made. Most of the bets were made on the exchanges but I also bet some in Betfred shops and also in shop terminals. Betfred did ban me from shops late on the year so looks like I will be mainly exchange betting this year and on the terminals in other shops.

FTS Systems

FTS is a service that provides historical data and models to help you profit from the football betting markets. My results for this service include the end of the 2022/2023 season and beginning of the 2023 season.

Currently I am running 10 systems using FTS and the total profit for the year is £176, in 2022 a profit of £1235 was made. So again similar to value betting there has been a drop in profit this year. Stakes have remained the same although they are different for each strategy.

Not much to say here will crack on till the end of 2023/2024 season and see where we end up.

Bets And Beers

Next up is Bets And Beers which is a lay the draw service with several years of profit behind it. Let’s look at my results follow the lay the half time draw method and first half goal method.

Bets and Beers

Pretty rough to go from £3500 in profit to finishing the year at £378 in total profit. Overall though it was completely I added the first half goal method which is strongly correlated to laying the first half draw. Staking £50 on each selection and hit a drawdown period which basically what the losses would have been.

Should add though that the Bets and Beers service itself which uses other methods then the two I used above. Performed excellently and made a profit for the year of over 400 points.

Football Trading Club

The Football Trading Club was a service that I had looked at for a while and after a successful review period I added it in the second half of the year and decided to follow the home values system.

Football Trading Club

Like a lot of things in the second half of the year. It went pear shaped as soon I as started putting real money down. This coincided with drawdowns across the board in October so I pulled the plug on it.

A total of -£1015 was lost after 134 selections.

Should mention much like Bets and Beers, the service had profitable year and my results are a small sample using only one strategy.

Horse Racing System

One of the few bright lights of the second half of 2023 was developing a winning horse racing system. Going through an unfamiliar drawdown lasting months I pulled my finger out at started looking at other potential edges. Found a horse racing strategy I thought would work and after testing followed it to £10 stakes.

This system made £710 profit after a total of 843 bets.

Horse Racing System

Quite excited to see where this system goes, theses results are from prices at 11.00 mainly from the exchanges but used a few smaller bookmakers. System is also profitable at BSP to a lesser extent.

Everything Else

Everything includes casino offers, free tipsters and any bets/trades that I don’t record on an individual spreadsheet but do go down on my daily profit and loss.

A profit of £1499 was made.

2023 Totals

Value Betting/Trading – £8027

MMA Betting – £5555

FTS – £176

Bets and Beers – £378

Football Trading Club – -£1015

Horse Racing – £710

Misc/Everything Else – £1499

Total Made In 2023

+£15,330

Overall Profit Since The Challenge Began

+£183,662

2023 Monthly

Thoughts Going Forward

Disappointing to go from my best year of betting to worst year back to back. However one of the positives was that during the drawdown and six month breakeven period, I didn’t tilt once. No silly bets, chasing or broken laptops, I was frustrated but ultimately believe that everything I was doing is +EV and in the long term will win.

In 2024 my focus will mainly be on my own betting/trading, at the start of 2023 I believed I had basically cracked it and didn’t really look to improve. The first six months went how I thought it would, however the last six months were a wake up call. The game always evolves and I need to be constantly evolving with it to continue to profit, tweaking existing edges and finding new ones.

Not going to set any monetary goals as 2023 proved that a lot of that is out of my hands and variance can run strongly either way. However what I can do is work harder then last year, analyze my betting more thoroughly and keeping developing as a sports bettor.

In terms of services I will be following Bets And Beers this year. Pre match ltd and ltd at half time, along with FTS.

Other then that I will keep an eye out for promising services that work on the exchanges. However the main focus will be my own stuff, as really that’s where I am most confident and when things go wrong its easier to analyze/improve my own betting as I understand why I placed every single bet.

The Value Collective

At the end of last year I started a Telegram group and started sending out some of my strongest selections that were backable on the exchanges. The feedback from the group was positive and the results have also been profitable.

At the start of this year I set this up as a paid service via Kofi.

These selections are a mixture of pre match and live football selections, UFC and occasionally other sports. All backable on the exchanges

Value Collective

Results so far so a profit of 16.51 points after 102 bets.

Someone staking £10 a point would be up £165, a £100 point bettor would be up £1650.

You Can View Results Here

The current return on investment from these selections is 11.3% when including 2% commission.

If you are interested in the service it costs £13.99 a month and runs via Telegram.

Click Here To Join The Value Collective.

That wraps everything up, hopefully you had a profitable 2023 and I will be back at the start of Feb 2024 with a reports on how this year started.

Making A Million From Sports Betting October 2023 Results

October brought month 79 in the “Making a Million Challenge.”

Results haven’t been great the last few months,

July – +£1062

August – +£48

September – -£1318

So I was hoping for strong month to turn things around, Let’s see if that happened.

Value Betting And Trading

This month I really put more focus and analysis on value betting. Last year this was a huge earner and the results haven’t been replicated this year.

Value betting comes in two forms, one is just picking off slowing moving odds with soft bookmakers and occasionally exchanges. The second way is reading market movement and preempting the big moves across the board. When all bookmakers move their odds one way.

Below is an example, I bet Cambodia at 1.99 and its closing odds were 1.59.

Beating the closing line is a great indicator of long term profit. By reading the market I can beat the closing line around roughly 65% of the time.

It terms of beating the closing line. This month went really well and I felt like I uncovered a few new angles. In terms of results, beating the closing line didn’t mean shit.

Overall a loss of -£801 was made from 328 bets.

Click Here For My Recommended Value Betting Software With A Two Week Free Trial.

FTS Systems

October was a terrible month for the FTS systems that I run with a total loss of –£1459 being made after 104 bets.

Not a huge amount to say really, it was just a really bad month. didn’t matter if the system was lay the draw, back the draw, back home teams, unders/overs etc. Sometimes in this game you are going to lose and you can accept it or bitch about it (I will accept it in this section then bitch about it later)

Bets And Beers Telegram Group

Bets and Beers had a strong month in October.

I follow the lay the half time draw method and this performed really well in the last weekend. However given how rough this month was going I took the last weekend off betting. Also I had been capping my lays at odd of 3.5

Which is not something I would usually do however I felt I need to reassess things and wanted a break from results.

I made £60 in profit in October.

Link To Bets and Beers

Everything Else

In October there were quite a few other strategies that I followed. These were very low volume so I will group them all together.

Casino Offers
Football Bet Data
MMA Betting
Football Trading Club

Football trading club was low volume due to the international break. My overall results being poor had me stop following the home value system and double chance. Long term the football trading club is very profitable but at the moment I want to focus on my own strategies to turn things around.

Hit a few profitable casino winners and MMA betting was profitable this to lessen some of the damage in other area’s

A profit of £326 was made from this section.

October 2023 Total

Bets and Beers – £60

Value Betting/Trading – -£801

FTS – -£1459

Other – £326

Total Made In October

-£1874

Overall Profit Since The Challenge Began

£181,011

Thoughts Going Forward

The curse of the new house continues, I thought it was cute when my wife suggested my record losing month was due to “feng shui” or “new spirits” in the house.

To follow up last months record losing month with an even bigger losing month in October though hit pretty hard. It stopped being funny and at times I was asking myself ” Am I f***** cursed, what is going on?”

Teams chucking away 2 goal leads, smashing the closing line and seeing my team get a red card after 10 minutes etc. It did seem endless and it is the most frustrating period of betting career. However I know that bad runs can happen, especially when you are mostly straight betting. Trading you can reduce variance but my approach is 95% value betting.

After spending around 90% of my bankroll to move house, I have been staking fairly aggressively with a smaller bankroll and been burnt. Historically losing months have been very rare and there has never been two in a row before. So in that sense I don’t think was a terrible idea.

I lean that these last couple of months are a “black swan” and that it is just a patch of really bad variance.

Changes

On the flip side though I also have to consider that it isn’t just bad variance and my approach needs adjusting.

“The definition of insanity is doing the same thing over and over again and expecting different results.”

This is the tough thing about betting, you can do the right things and still end up losing. When it comes to my value betting/trading I could look at the closing line and assess whether it was good or bad. Following other services this can be a little trickier.

I decided towards the end of the month to tighten things up. Bets and Beers and the football trading club I will put on hold until the new year. Look at where my bankroll is and then likely follow them with small stakes.

FTS I have a dedicated bank, which I will continue with until the end of season.

My value betting I actually think has improved this month. This downswing made me look at what I was doing and where I can make improvements. Which I have done.

What I can also do to reduce variance is trade out some liability on some of the bigger markets. Which when the market goes in my favour basically creates a larger value bet and can lower variance. Given that I can beat the closing line more often then I don’t, this is a profitable strategy.

This was something that I did much more of last year and due to over confidence/laziness haven’t done as much this year. Now I don’t think this is the only reason for the big differences in profit, up until the end of March last year I still had some of the big soft bookmakers left. However it could definitely help smooth over these run months and future potential losing months.

Hopefully November and December can see a positive end to 2023 and I hope your betting in October went better then mine.

See you next month!

Making A Million From Sports Betting September 2023 Results

September brought month 78 in the making a million challenge!

After a breaking even in August and a below par year so far, I was really hoping to kick things into gear in September.

Did that happen?

Let’s take a look!

Value Betting And Trading

Really up and down month for value betting. Getting above £1k profit at one point then into the red before climbing back above 1k. Eventually hitting a string of losers to end the month with a small profit.

Value bets are mainly based on reading the market and looking to beat the closing line. The occasional value bet is made with remaining soft bookmakers.

Overall a profit of £437 was made after 250 selections.

Click Here For My Recommended Value Betting Software With A Two Week Free Trial.

MMA Betting

Low volume for MMA betting with a total of 9 bets being made.

A profit of £184 was made from betting on MMA.

Only bet I didn’t really like this month was Yanis Ghemmouri. Which I jumped on without proper research not realizing that he was fighting a weight class above his usual weight. As soon as I saw him in the cage with William Gomis I knew it wasn’t going to be a good night.

Rookie mistake that I shouldn’t be making after so many years betting MMA.

Bets And Beers Telegram Group

Bet and Beers had a great month in September making just under 54 points profit. 57 of those points were made from full time lay the draw results.

Given that I follow lay the half time draw and was following the first half goal strategy my results were different.

It’s been a rough few months for the half time LTD and FHG methods. The drawdown has been about –£3000 with the timing of adding FHG to the overall portfolio not being the best.

Following Bets and Beers has been profitable this year with the total profit being £500.This profit is made to £50 stakes however so it is around 10 points up overall.

If I had followed every Bets and Beers strategy I would be up 217 points. Dropping my stakes to £10 to account for the larger lay odds would have seen me being significantly better off.

By only following the system which suits the odds I like to lay at (around 3.0 max) it’s cost me. However two months ago this obviously looked very differently with my results hitting +£4000.

Going to continue just following the HTLTD until the end of the year. Look at where my bankroll is and reassess things then.

In September a loss of -£1066 was made.

Link To Bets and Beers

FTS Systems

FTS started off profitable in August with a profit of £407 being made.

In September however things swung the other way and a loss of -£690 was made from 11 systems. Not a huge amount to write about here. Going through the staking for 11 systems would take too long however they are based on the FTS software which uses historical results and various models/from to find profitable trends.

Football Trading Club

Football Trading Club is a service that I reviewed recently and historically has been very strong. However to carry on the recurring theme it had a tough month.

I follow the home win selections and home double chance selections pre match. Also I take the occasional in-play bet when I am around at the computer and they come through.

Pretty frustrating month with one or two partially matched bets going on to win and every in-play bet I made losing. Again it just seemed to be the run of things in September. Overall the Football Trading Club is showing consistent profit long term and I won’t be changing anything.

Overall a loss of -£366 was made.

Read My Football Trading Club Review Here

Everything Else

So there is quite a bit more that I followed in September. These strategies tend to be much lower volume then everything else. Combining them makes more sense then going through each one individually.

Casino Offers
Football Bet Data
My Trading/Betting

A profit of £183 was made here.

September 2023 Total

Bets and Beers – -£1066

Value Betting/Trading – £437

MMA Betting – £184

FTS – -£690

Football Trading Club – £-366

Misc – £183

Total Made In September

-£1318

Overall Profit Since The Challenge Began

£182,885

Thoughts Going Forward

Month 78 marked a record losing month.

I will admit it stung a little bit and its the longest period I have been without making a profit (3 months) since the challenge began. After last year which was a record winning year (Just under £40k profit) it looks very likely that this year will be the lowest yearly total since I started.

Variance has been a big part as it always is.

In both last years record profit and this years likely record low profit. My approach in both years has largely been the same.

My wife believes that since moving house the feng shui is off in my work area. Which is why the last 3 months haven’t been great. I laughed this off but writing this 5 days into October and I’m already sitting at around -£1k.

Feng Shui? Voodoo? Gypy Curse? Possibly.

My value bets are still consistently beating the closing line, so in theory these results have to turn eventually. It is tempting to make changes when things aren’t going right but I will wait until the end of the year before doing anything.

Hopefully you had a better September the I did, see you next month for the next update.

Making A Million From Sports Betting July And August 2023 Results

Month 76 and 77 have passed in the making a million challenge.

My intention was to put out up post last month but with summer holidays, kids, work etc. I simply forgot.

July was a fairly quiet month with only the summer leagues and the womens world cup to bet on. Which meant that it was a pretty low volume month.

Overall a profit of £962 was made.

August saw the return of a big leagues and an expectation on my part to finish the year strong.

Let’s dig into it!

Value Betting And Trading

It was a strong month for value betting and nice to have the return of the bigger football leagues. Which provides more opportunity. The lower English leagues tend to be good sources and the advantage of being able to get down at local Betfred shops is also a positive.

Overall a profit of £2503 was made after 270 selections.

If you want learn more about value betting I recently put up a video going through how to get started!

Watch this video on YouTube

MMA Betting

Bit of a nothing month when it came to mixed martial arts.

In previous updates I could fit in every single bet to show you from Bettin.gs but since the update I can only give you a snap shot.

After 13 bets a profit of £169 was made.

On a side note the updated bettin.gs is excellent and if you are looking for a free way to track your bet, I recommend it.

Bets And Beers Telegram Group

Bets and Beers has been one of the most consistent services that I have ever followed. Very few losing months and and my graph pretty much only moved one way.

Until this month.

August also saw the addition of selections in the first half goal market. Which I decided to follow by placing a bet at odds of 1.5 and looking to get it matched in-play. This basically doubled my liability on each game.

It proved to be a bad timing to double my stakes.

A loss of -£1550 was made after 140 bets.

Despite a bad run I won’t be changing anything. Historically results are strong, drawdowns have happened in the past and following the system long term has made money.

FTS Systems

August saw the return of the major football leagues which also meant the return of FTS.

This season I am running 10 systems.

After a successful 2022-203 season, I wanted to increase the amount of volume as my stakes are roughly the same as last year. Having recently bought a house, I’m not in the position to increase stakes so volume is the other way to look at increasing profits.

A profit of £407 was made.

My Trading/Betting

My personal trading/betting was something of a car crash this month.

Not a lot of volume but lost fairly consistently this month. I do like to take on an away team that’s leading by 2 goals and it just didn’t come off this month. Most of the damage came backing Gent when they were 11 against 10 versus Servette at home. Even though the odds were short, I thought they offered value.

They ended up blowing a lead and getting eliminated in extra time.

A total of -£550 was lost from 21 trades.

Everything Else

So there is quite a bit more that I followed in August. Which in future I will start to separate, however being slightly short of time I will put them together as they tend to be much lower volume then everything else.

Football Trading Club
Casino Offers
Football Bet Data
Free tips (Matchbook, Asian Connect etc)

Football trading club is a service I have been tracking for a while and started to back their home value selections in August alongside a few of their in-play alerts. Only managed 2 casino offers in August which both lost.

I run one system on football bet data which threw up a couple of losing selections. Selections will increase for this system as the season goes on and more data is collected. Judging by my end of month total the selections that I followed from free tipsters also lost this month.

A total of -£931 was made from this section.

August 2023 Total

Bets and Beers – -£1550

Value Betting/Trading – £2503

MMA Betting – £169

My Trading/Betting Football – –£550

Misc – -£931

Total – £48

Total Made In July and August

£1110

Overall Profit Since The Challenge Began

£184,203

Thoughts Going Forward

Got to admit that I found August really frustrating.

After making just under £40k profit last year, there was an expectancy on my part to hit a similar figure this year. Which just hasn’t happened.

Despite maintaining similar stakes and using the same strategies the results just haven’t been as good. I do think that last year I ran on the positive side of variance and perhaps this year is balancing things out. August started really strong with £2500 profit made in the first 10 days and then to see a final figure of £48 did piss me off.

At the end of the day though bitching and whining doesn’t help. Sometimes it just requires some patience, as long as your approach is good.

There are things I can improve.

Following the likes of matchbook insights and Asian Connect tipster for example without tracking them properly is silly on my part. The analysis always seems very good but I probably should not be staking them the same as I do with proven strategies.

Ultimately there a lot of things I should be grateful for. Having good health, decent relationships with family/friends, security, a house over my head. Feeling pissed off about not winning enough money from sports betting seems petty and kind of dickish.

So apologies for being petty and kind of a dick in this blog post.

Anyway thanks for reading, hope your betting/trading is going well, will be back next month!

Making A Million From Sports Betting June 2023

June marks month 75 in the “Making a Million Challenge.”

It was a month that I expected to be fairly quiet in terms of volume. Whilst there wasn’t as much to bet on this month, the betting gods smiled and in terms of profit it ended up being one of the strongest months this year.

Making A Million

Value Betting And Trading

Good month for value betting with selections popping up for international football, golf and even a few F1 bets.

Not a huge amount of bets with 87 being recorded but profit made this month was solid.

After 87 bets a profit of £1454 was made.

Not Familiar With Matched Betting Or Value Betting ?

Read Our Guides Below

Matched Betting Guide

Value Betting Guide

MMA Betting

Under dogs seem to be having a better year in 2023 when it comes to UFC betting. Which is usually where I find most value in these markets. After a small losing year in 2022 (-£442), 2023 has seen an overall profit of £2354.

MMA betting June

In June there were 16 bets and a profit of £1944 was made.

Bets And Beers Telegram Group

Bets and Beers is a service that provides selection for lay the draw.

The service provides multiple approaches however I just use the lay the half time draw strategy. Staking £50 per selection.

In June a profit of £334 was made.

Bets and beers

Everything Else

There was no FTS Ultimate selections this month due to the major football leagues not running. Outside of the above selections, I also bet a few free tipsters selections and in-play bets.

These bets produced a loss of –£637 this month.

June 2023 Total

Bets and Beers – £334

Value Betting/Trading – £1454

MMA Betting – £1944

Misc – -£637

June PL

Total Made In June

£3095

Overall Profit Since The Challenge Began

£183,193

Thoughts Going Forward

June was a better month then I expected. Some months you can put in a tonne of volume and work only to see a negative or break even figure at the end of it. Then other times you you do the bare minimum and the profit comes easily.

That’s the weird thing about betting, time spend working doesn’t always equate to making more money or even making money at all. It can be very frustrating and why a big part of this game is patience.

Got the house move done in June which meant the betting bankroll took a big hit. One of my initial goals was always to buy a house with money made from betting and now I’ve been fortunate enough to do that. My next goal is to bet more aggressively, scale things up and make some money that could lead to early retirement.

Now is a good time to prepare for the new football season. Football alongside MMA is really what I want to focus on going forward.

Having bet Tennis, Horses, Golf and numerous other sports over the years. I realized the sports I am most comfortable and confident in beating over the long term are the sports that I really understand. When it comes to betting larger amounts of money understanding the edge I have and reasoning for the bets makes it easier to handle the losing swings that inevitably come.

In comparison to following tipsters who bet in sports I don’t have a great understanding of. Where at times losing runs hit and you are asking “What the f*** is going on?”

FTS, Bets and Beers and FTC will be the services I will be using to take on the 2023/2024 football season. Thanks for reading, good luck with your own betting and I’ll be back next month with an update.

Making A Million From Sports Betting May 2023

May brings month 74 in the “Making A Million Challenge.”

It was pretty poor month overall with a very small profit of £216 being made. To mix things up a bit and keep it interesting.

I will break down my results for the whole of 2023 so far.

Value Betting And Trading

First off we have value betting.

Value betting is placing bets with the aim to beat the closing line. Previously this was done mostly with bookmakers however now it is mainly on exchanges.

Alongside the occasional shop bet.

Looking at the graph you can that approaching close to 900 bets this strategy wasn’t in profit. The next couple of hundred bets it had a sharp rise in profit and then has been a bit up and down for the rest of the year.

Last year this was the most profitable strategy but this year its underperformed slightly. I think its just a case of putting in as much volume as possible. There is no real reason for it underperforming other then variance.

This year a profit of £4215 has been made after 1527 bets.

Not Familiar With Matched Betting Or Value Betting ?

Read Our Guides Below

Matched Betting Guide

Value Betting Guide

MMA Betting

Moving on to mixed martial arts betting, which has been pretty decent this year so far.

After 37 bets a profit of £1396 has been made.

Not a lot to add really. Don’t put a huge amount of volume through the MMA market, tend to try to pick what I think are the best spots.

Previously I had been sending out bets on Discord for free but haven’t the last couple of months. Mainly just due to not remembering and I don’t use Discord for anything myself, it’s just ben forgotten in the background for a while. Might set something up on telegram as I am pretty active there with other betting services.

Bets And Beers Telegram Group

Bets and Beers is a service that provides selection for lay the draw.

The service provides multiple approaches however I just use the lay the half time draw strategy. Staking £50 per selection, the first 70 selections were £20 stakes as I was still testing the service at this point.

Bets and Beers has run pretty well this year as you can see. Hitting £3500 profit for the year at one point before running in to a few losers in the last 150 bets or so.

A profit of £2890 has been made from 400 bets.

FTS Ultimate

For FTS I run 4 season long betting systems. These are set and forget systems which are placed pre match. All of the systems are run on Betfair.

Let’s break down the results for 2023.

System 1 (Lay Draw), Stakes – £50 lay bet, Results = £901 (97 bets)

System 2 (Form based system) £50 to £100 lay bets, Results = – £1600 (185 bets)

System 3 (Poisson) £120 back bets, Results = £1875 (92 bets)

System 4 (Underdog System) £10 to £30 back bets, Results = -£329 (27 bets)

Total – £847

Everything Else

There are a few other strategies I use that are lower volume so I will just group them together.

This is casino offers, in-play trading and free tipster bets that I might place. All of these get added to my overall daily total but I am not always meticulous in recording them down.

It accounts for a profit of £2418.

2023 Total (Up until June 2023)

FTS – £847

Bets and Beers – £2890

Value Betting/Trading – £4215

MMA Betting – £1396

Misc – £2669

Total Made In 2023 so far

£12,017

Overall Profit Since The Challenge Began

£180,098

Thoughts Going Forward

At this stage last year profits were double what they are currently in 2023. Which is a little disappointing as we always want to see progression. However with betting sometimes it requires some patience.

Strategies are very similar to last year with a couple of additions. Staking roughly around the same amount of money, so I think the difference is largely down to variance. I ran extremely well in the first 5 months of 2022 whilst in 2023 there have been a few slim months.

The season for all the big leagues has ended now and its a good time to look at finding new edges for the coming season.

I have been dabbling with football bet data for a couple of weeks which looks interesting and is something I will use for next season. Football Trading Club is another service I have been following for a few month, results have been very good and they provide selections for the summer leagues.

Profiting from the horse racing markets is something I want to get back to doing. Now it is quiet with football I am going to test out a few tipsters/services and might even get back to trading it if I can find the time.

If anyone has any recommendations, pop them in the comments.

Thanks as always for reading!

Making A Million From Sports Betting April 2023

April marks month 73 in the “Making a Million Challenge”.

It was a strong month overall, the major leagues start to get interesting as teams fights for championships/promotion/relegation. Which can see some big changes in odds movement week to week.

Let’s get on to the results for April 2023.

Value Betting And Trading

Value betting performed pretty well in March.

The month started very strongly getting close to a profit £3500 before a late month downswing took it under £2000.

Not a huge amount to say other then it was a solid month.

At this point a lot of my value betting is just repetitively looking for the same things in the market and making the bets. It is all aimed at beating the close line either through straight up value bets or pre-empting moves in the market.

After 343 bets a profit of £1862 was made.

Not Familiar With Matched Betting Or Value Betting ?

Read Our Guides Below

Matched Betting Guide

Value Betting Guide

MMA Betting

Having a bookmaker that will take my action on MMA has been a nice addition.

Akbet.bet is a newish bookmaker that’s looking to take sharp action. They also offer prop markets which is enabling me to get money down. Limits aren’t huge but it is nice just not to get closed or limited to pennies after a week or two of betting.

There were 9 bets for MMA in the month of April, a profit of £685 was made.

Casino Offers

Oddsmonkey have put more focus on exploiting casino offers recently. I decided to have a look at at what offers were available in the current market.

I only did 6 offers this month but ran very well and made a profit of £685.

Casino offers at one point were my biggest earner but in all honesty they can be very boring and some offers are quite time consuming.

Writing this in May I have been doing offers but cherry picking the ones that are high value and don’t take up too much time. Which for me is the best strategy.

Want to learn plus ev casino strategy read our guide here

FTS Ultimate

For FTS I run 4 season long betting systems. These are set and forget systems which are placed pre match. All of the systems are run on Betfair.

Let’s break down the results.

System 1 (Lay Draw), Stakes – £50 lay bet, Results = £241 (22 bets)

System 2 (Form based system) £50 to £100 lay bets, Results = –£775 (49 bets)

System 3 (Poisson) £120 back bets, Results = £876 (24 bets)

System (Underdog System) £10 to £30 back bets, Results = -£150 (8 bets)

Total – £192

Bets And Beers Telegram Group

Only playing the set and forget HTLTD system at the moment with bets and beers.

Along with a couple of the horse racing lays. I do however keep forgetting these as they are not as frequent.

At the end of the season will reassess the other systems he uses and look at setting up a bank for each.

Great results in April staking £50 per lay.

A profit of £1409 was made after 103 bets.

-£124 was made following the lay selections on horses.

In-play Betting And Trading

Decent month for in-play betting and trading. Hit a big winner at odds of 50 to win over £1k, which is a figure that I haven’t won very often from one bet.

Despite that one big winner the total profit for the month was lower then that figure. The 0-2 score line is one that I like to look at often. If the home team gets one back, the crowd get’s behind them and you usually see a late push for an equalizer.

A total of £742 was made from in-play betting and trading this month.

April Totals

FTS – £192

Bets and Beers – £1285

Value Betting/Trading – £1862

Casino Offers – £685

MMA Betting – £685

In-play Betting And Trading – £742

Total Made In April

+£5451

Overall Profit Since The Challenge Began

£179,858

Thoughts Going Forward

April marked the best month of the year so far. It was an odd one with a big of profit coming in the first 9 days of the month. Then I have gradually lost money day by day for the following 3o days (writing this 10 days into May where I have continued to lose).

Goes to show how volatile results can be with value betting/trading.

I am not doing anything different at all. The process is exactly the same however results have been vastly different. Think this is one of the key factors in winning long term, focus on the process and let the results play out over the long term.

Been doing this long enough now to know that results will turn again.

Still waiting to move house. Which means I won’t be changing much up betting wise or adding anything.

Should all be wrapped up within the next month which is decent timing as football winds down. Then can look at the bankroll and have a think about how to approach next season.

Hope you had a profitable April.

Thanks for reading, see you next month!

Making A Million From Sports Betting March 2023

2023 rolls on and its month 72 of the “Making A Million Challenge.”

+£704 was made in January, +£2930 in February got the year rolling.

Let’s get on to the results from March.

Value Betting And Trading

March brought the first month of the year where value betting made a decent profit.

From the graph you can see it was fairly volatile at times. Weekends are when most of the bets are active and Sat/Sun often define how the month ends up.

Despite a fairly swingy month in terms of results it ended in the positive.

A profit of £1845 was made after 329 bets.

Not Familiar With Matched Betting Or Value Betting ?

Read Our Guides Below

Matched Betting Guide

Value Betting Guide

MMA Betting

March was a good month for MMA with the long awaited return of Jon Jones and the big Usman vs Edwards rematch. Felt pretty confident that Cyril Gane would give Jones a decent test at heavyweight after a few years out.

So when Jones took Gane down with relative ease and submitted him inside a couple of minutes it was pretty embarrassing.

Overall a profit of £405 was made from MMA betting.

FTS Ultimate

For FTS I run 4 season long betting systems. These are set and forget systems which are placed pre match. All of the systems are run on Betfair.

Let’s break down the results.

System 1 (Lay Draw), Stakes – £50 lay bet, Results = -£5 (18 bets)

System 2 (Form based system) £50 to £100 lay bets, Results = £565 (37 bets)

System 3 (Poisson) £120 back bets, Results = £129 (17 bets)

System (Underdog System) £10 to £30 back bets, Results = -£180 (10 bets)

Total – £509

Bets And Beers Telegram Group

Bets and Beers followed up February’s stormer of a month with a solid one in March.

I follow the lay the half time draw method staking £50 per bet. Along with the horse racing bets where I risk £200 liability per bet.

The half time lay results made a profit of £347 this month.

Horse racing lays made -£84.

A total profit of £263 was made.

Profitable month for the service to build on the big profit made in Feb. Not much to add, good results from a solid service that’s one I will be following for a long time.

In-play Betting And Trading

Had a mixture my own In-play betting, Bets and Beers new in-play service and had a look at The Football Trading Club in March.

In the future I will probably to start recording these all separately as the amount of volume that I’m betting in-play has increased by quite a lot.

It was a losing month for me in this area, despite a profitable month recorded for Bets and Beers live. This was due to missed bets and staking on some of my positions being bigger.

A loss of -£457 was made from in-play betting trading this month.

March Totals

FTS – £509

Bets and Beers – £263

Value Betting/Trading – £1845

MMA Betting – £405

In-play Betting And Trading – -£457

Total Made In March

+£2565

Overall Profit Since The Challenge Began

£174,407

Thoughts Going Forward

Still waiting for our house move to go through at the moment. Which means I am holding back on increasing stakes until its done and dusted. In case any additional costs arise which is probably likely when solicitors are involved.

Overall though this year has started pretty well. It’s looking like last year I probably ran above expectation and results this year seem to be more in line with previous years.

Not looking to change much up at the moment. Once the house deal is done, my intention is to scale up my stakes and bet more aggressively. The last few years of betting/trading profit have been going towards the house move. Wary that a downswing or bad year could put me a year or two back from buying a new house meant staking very safely.

However with this looking to be done soon, pushing on towards that £1,000,000 target could become more interesting.

Thanks for reading, see you next month!

Making A Million From Sports Betting February 2023

We roll onto month 71 in the “making a million challenge” and 2023 started off with a bit of a whimper.

In January a small profit of £704 was made.

Did February mark an improvement? let’s take a look.

Making A Million

Value Betting And Trading

Got to admit value betting can be frustrating at times.

You make the right bets, beat the closing line and lose. On to the next week, hammer the closing line, make the correct bets. End up losing a big chunk of money.

That’s been the recurring theme this year so far. The bets with the biggest edges just aren’t coming off.

Whilst annoying, there is nothing to do other other then have some patience and wait for the results to change. Been doing this long enough to know that results will come good eventually.

Value Betting Results

Despite my whining Feb was actually a profitable month for value betting.

After 271 bets a profit of £479 was made.

Not Familiar With Matched Betting Or Value Betting ?

Read Our Guides Below

Matched Betting Guide

Value Betting Guide

MMA Betting

Low volume month for MMA betting. There were a few prop bets and in-play bets however for the bets I send out on Discord there were only 4.

Having very few bookmaker accounts makes it difficult to place prop bets on UFC. Usually have to throw bets up on the exchange and hope that they get matched on fight day. Which is why the focus is mainly on fight result bets.

MMA Bets Feb

Overall -£170 was lost betting on MMA.

FTS Ultimate

For FTS I run 4 season long betting systems. These are set and forget systems which are placed pre match.

Let’s break down the results.

System 1 (Lay Draw), Stakes – £50 lay bet, Results = £92 (36 bets)

System 2 (Form based system) £50 to £100 lay bets, Results = -£712 (50 bets)

System 3 (Poisson) £120 back bets, Results = £308 (23 bets)

System (Underdog System) £10 to £30 back bets, Results = -£95 (5 bets)

Total – -£407

Bets And Beers Telegram Group

Stormer of a month for Bets and Beers which made the majority of my profit for the month.

I follow the lay the half time draw method staking £50 per bet. Along with the horse racing bets where I risk £200 liability per bet.

Bets And Beers Feb

The half time lay results made a profit of £1692 this month.

Horse racing lays made £213.

A total profit of £1905 was made.

Not much to day on this other then it was a cracking month. Bets and Beers has been a standout service for me and long may months like this continue!

In-play Betting And Trading

Writing this 10 days into March and to be honest I don’t remember much at all about last month. Did some in-play betting on football which went ok from the looks of it and won on the boxing.

Jake Paul Bet

Finally got a pay off fading Jake Paul after losing a decent amount backing Anderson Silva last time out. Good to see him against a real boxer of a similar size and age.

He was well beaten against Tommy Fury. I imagine he will go back to fighting youtubers and MMA fighters past their best after this lesson.

Feb Totals

FTS – -£407

Bets and Beers – £1905

Value Betting/Trading – £479

MMA Betting – -£170

In-play Betting And Trading – £1023

Feb Results

Total Made In February

+£2830

Overall Profit Since The Challenge Began

£171,842

Thoughts Going Forward

A very solid month of profits obviously owing a lot to the performance of Bets and Beers.

Just waiting for value betting results to turn up a notch and hopefully can hit some big profits again this year. In terms of adding anything new to the portfolio. There is nothing that I am looking at currently.

In the middle of moving houses at the moment which is going to take a big chunk out of the bankroll. Unlikely to change anything until that is done and dusted. After that can reassess things and see if anything that looks promising can be added.

As always thanks for reading, see you next month.

Making A Million From Sports Betting January 2023

December capped off month 70 in the “Making A Million Challenge.”

It was a frustrating month at times and after the first 20 days of 2023 I was in a -£2000 hole. In the long term results over a 20 day period don’t really mean much.

However I did feel an expectancy to start the year well. The betting gods clearly though don’t give a fuck about how you feel the year should start and hey why should they!

So I sucked it up and just kept doing what I normally do. Which normally produces a profit at the end of the month.

Let’s dig into results for January.

Value Betting And Trading

Read the markets pretty well this move in terms of getting value against the closing odds. Consistently getting closing line value which in turn should equal a profit. However it doesn’t guarantee it.

Closing line value is the odds a bettor gets relative to the closing odds. If they beat the market closing odds, they got positive CLV. If the market beat them, they got negative CLV. Beating the market means getting a better odds than the closing odds at sharp bookmakers.

January ended up being a losing month.

After 319 bets a loss of -£1411 was made.

Not Familiar With Matched Betting Or Value Betting ?

Read Our Guides Below

Matched Betting Guide

Value Betting Guide

MMA Betting

I made one solitary bet on MMA in January, which was Gilbert Burns to win inside the distance.

The reason for the low number of MMA bets was a lack of UFC cards and the poor quality of the cards. Probably due to not being able to get downs bets until a day or two before events start (no soft bookmakers) and the time it can take to watch tape on lesser known fighters. I just didn’t have much inclination to delve deep into the last few cards.

This weekend however is a huge card with decent money already available on Betfair so this will pick up.

A profit of £220 was made betting on MMA.

FTS Ultimate

Slight change this month to FTS as I started using the poisson database to place bets.

This added one more system but also meant at times it conflicted with an under 2.5/3.5 goals system that I had been using.

I made the decision to drop the goal system and follow the poisson due to the results I have had. One system has been very profitable whilst the other has just consistently lost this season. This may be a bit short sighted but I feel less conflicted about selections and can reassess at the end of the season.

Let’s break down the results.

System 1 (Lay Draw), Stakes – £50 lay bet, Results = £572

System 2 (Form based system) £50 to £100 lay bets, Results = -£208

System 3 (Poisson) £120 back bets, Results = £806

System (Underdog System) £10 to £30 back bets, Results = -£100

Unders system (No longer using) – £22

Total – £1092

Bets And Beers Telegram Group

Rough month for Bets and Beers and had a few messages about it after I highlighted as a service that I use last month.

All I can say on the matter is that all services/methods/strategies have losing periods. If you are going to try and make money doing this its something you have to accept. If you choose to follow a service then make sure you understand that.

historical results

Look at the historical results, its plain to see that there has been losing months but long term the service has been solid. Does that guarantee it will win in the future? no nothing is guaranteed.

However accept that you made the decision to follow the service, you decided the stakes. Nobody forced you into anything and ultimately take responsibility for own betting.

Missed quite a few bets this month for the horses and also for the in-play lay the draw when its a triggered at half time.

Decided to adapt my approach going forward and increase stakes but only play one strategy. The strategy I will follow is laying the half time draw, stakes will go up from £20 to £50 per bet.

My reasons for this are that although all strategies have shown to be profitable, I like laying at lower liabilities. Whilst the straight up LTD from kick off can be fairly high odds. Again this is just my personal preference if you follow the service do what suits you. I will also leave the in-play lay the draws alone just because I know that I can’t follow them all.

A loss of -£141 was made from this service.

In-play Betting And Trading

Decent but not spectacular month for in-play betting and trading. One of the better trades I had this month was laying Gillingham when they managed to go 3-1 up against Swindon.

Thankfully Charlie Austin came to the rescue and bagged a few goals to seal the comeback.

Overall a profit of £944 was made from in-play betting and trading.

Jan Totals

FTS – £1092

Bets and Beers – -£141

Value Betting/Trading – -£1411

MMA Betting – £220

In-play Betting And Trading – £944

Daily P/L

Total Made In January

+£704

Overall Profit Since The Challenge Began

£169,012

Thoughts Going Forward

Not the best start to the year but not terrible either.

I know that the way I approach betting works and that it just requires some patience to see the results sometimes. In terms of new strategies or services that I am looking at. Been looking into some horse racing services again as I do like the day to day nature of horse but I also don’t want to spend all day in front of the computer (horse racing trading).

Exponential bet looks interesting, this an automated horse racing service. If anyone has any feedback I would welcome it.

Another service I have been testing the waters with is Systematic betting. The main issue that most horse racing tipsters have is matching the quoted odds especially when using Betting exchanges but have had success with small stakes so far.

Thanks for reading hope you had a profitable Jan!