Laying The Correct Score Tips – Betfair Strategy
Goals are the most exciting aspect of a football match.
They cause the biggest odds movement and there are numerous strategies based around goals.
Laying the correct score in the second half is the strategy I am going to write about in this article.
When is the best time to lay the correct score?
Generally I like to the lay the score in the second half of the game in the final 30 minutes.
There are a few factors that I look for in a good lay the second half score trade.
Urgency – There needs to a reason why a teams need to score and preferably as quick as possible.
One goal difference – I like there to be a one goal difference between the teams. Psychologically this can make a big difference to the way players react. One goal is always very attainable whether there are 20 minutes or 2 minutes remaining.
Home team losing/Cup game – These situations can create an urgency within a team to score. A rabid home crowd spur their team to push forward and can give a side that extra energy. It can also leave them open to the counter and exposed at the back as the pressure from fans builds.
Teams that generally score/Opposition stats – This is probably obvious but you want to look at teams that have a good goal scoring record at home. Also consider on average how many goals there opponents concede away from home.
Game Tempo – Being able to watch a game is an advantage as game tempo can be key.
- Is the leading team looking to counter?
- Are they wasting time using stalling tactics?
- Is the referee stopping the game at every opportunity?
- Are the crowd behind the home team? Changes in tactics/substitutions?
Laying The Correct Score Tips – Betfair Strategy
Example
Last night there was a game between Liverpool and Southampton in the league cup semi final. Liverpool were the home side and found themselves down 0-1 on aggregate. It got to the 60 minute mark and the score was level at 0-0 with Liverpool needing a goal to have any hope of qualification.
Given the conditions of the game meeting the factors above and Liverpool’s tendency to score at home I entered a lay bet on 0-0 at 3.35.
It should also be noted that Southampton were missing there best defender Virgil Van Dijk and this season had conceded twice as many goals in the second half compared to the first. These were other factors that I felt increased the likely hood of a goal being scored.
Liverpool pushed hard for the goal but ultimately it was Southampton who scored in injury time on the counter. The lay bet was successful £28.53 was made after commission for a stake of £70.50.
I prefer to trade the match odds markets pre match and in the first half. The strategy above however is a good one to consider in the second half if the right conditions are met.
This strategy is basically an outright bet on a goal being scored. Like all betting strategies you need to consider correct bankroll management and game selection to be successful in the long term.
Hopefully this article on laying the correct score will have given you a strategy to consider when trading the second half of a football game.
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