Its a pretty stacked weekend for sports with the return of domestic football alongside a big schedule for combat sports with 3 mixed martial arts events and the best boxing match up of the year.
Andre Ward By Decision 2.1 – Available At Various
Andre Ward takes on monstrous puncher Sergey Kovalev this weekend in a great match up of two undefeated fighters. Andre Ward is one of the most unsung fighters in boxing.
Coming into the super six middleweight tournament as a replacement Ward was fairly young into his professional career. Ward comfortably beat the likes of Carl Froch, Mikkel Kessler and Artur Abraham to win the tournament.
Sergey Kovalev is one of the biggest punchers in boxing he has has dismantled good fighters in the likes of Nathan Cleverly and an aging Bernard Hopkins. The fact is though that Ward is a level above anyone Kovalev has ever fought and is as defensively sound and adaptable as probably any other boxer on the planet.
I like the technician over the big puncher here and see value in taking Ward by decision.
This week will use Coral’s accumulator offer where if you back five teams and one loses you get a refund. The refund offer gives us an advantage.
Using Oddsmonkey acca matcher sofftware we can see that our expected long term return for this bet is £1.86 for every £10 staked. This gives an expected return on our investment of 18.6%.