Looking at the odds for this game I don’t have Russia as such big favourites.
Russia were not impressive against England and were very lucky to escape with a point. Slovakia played well in their loss against Wales in a game which was very even and could have gone either way.
When I look at the form of the two teams and the strength of the squads I don’t give Russia much of an advantage here and believe the odds should be much closer.
My strategy for this game will be to lay Russia at 2.44 for a maximum liability of 5% of my bankroll. I will then adjust my position in play depending on the flow of the game.
Lets look at some of the scenarios:
If Russia play better then I expect and dominate possession I will exit the trade and take a loss inside the first 20 mins.
If Russia score the first goal I will exit my position for a loss of around 2-2.5%.
If Slovakia score first I will look to scale out my liability as Russia’s odds rise leaving a maximum liability of 2% until the end of the game.
If no goals at half time I will lower my total liability on Russia to 2% and leave it as a value bet for the second half.
My total liability for the start of the trade is to risk 5% of my bank to win 3.5%. My total losses for this game should not exceed 2.5%.
This is my general trading plan for the Russia vs Slovakia game.