Best Tennis Tipster 2024 – Free And Paid Tips

Who is the best tennis tipster in 2024?

In today’s article we are going to take a look at the great game of tennis and most importantly highlight the tipsters that are able to make a long term profit from sports betting.

Tennis is a sports that offers a lot of opportunity.

Matches are played on almost a daily basis. There is the ATP, WTA, Challenger series and ITF, which presents numerous betting opportunities for sharp tennis bettors.

Let’s take a look at some of the best tennis tipsters we have found available on the internet.

Best Tennis Tipsters 2024

Tipsters	Number Of Bets	Profit	Trial Available
Winnerodds	4188	£9494	No
Rolling Aces	307	£1625	Yes (Click Here)
Nishikori	3974	£2680	No
Sean Calvert	2827	171 units	No
Wadsters Winners	1849	200 units	No

Number 1 – Winnerodds

One of the absolute best tennis tipsters on the market is Winnerodds. This service is much more then your standard tennis tipster. It is a platform that gives you access to value betting software that uses AI to find value in the tennis markets.

It has a proven track record of providing long term profits from its customers. Enables a high volume approach and covers the ATP, WTA, challenger series and ITF.

The software works by highlighting value bets available with a number of bookmakers.

It then suggests an amount to bet, based on your bankroll at the time.

Statistics (results for the average user)

Total Number Of Bets	4188
Return On Investment	3.78%
Average Profit (For One User)	£9494.09
Average Profit Per Pick	£2.27

There are many advantages of using Winnerodds in comparison to a normal tennis tipster.

Can use the software 24 hours a day.
Don’t have to worry about chasing odds.
Won’t lose value on your subscription by missing bets
Multiple different bookmakers to choose from

If you are looking for a proven tennis tipsters that has shown to make money over the long term. Winnerodds is certainly a service you should be looking at.

You Can Read More About Winnerodds Here

Number 2 – Rolling Aces

Rolling Aces is a tipster that comes out of the Betting Gods network.

Betting at average odds of 1.93 with a long term win rate of 58.55%, he has been profitable 11 months out of 14. Showing consistency and an ability to make money for those that follow him.

Rolling Aces bets mostly on the WTA and ATP.

Statistics

Total Number Of Bets	307
Total Profit (Staking £10 per point)	£1625.47
Return On Investment	20.01%
Average Monthly Profit	£116.10

You Can Trial Rollin Aces Here

Number 3 – Nishikori

Moving on to the next tipster on the list and that is the aptly named Nishikori!

The tennis tipster Nishikori comes out of the Pyckio betting stable. He is their number 1 tennis tipster having been on the platform since 2016 and is still going strong.

Nishikori specializes in betting on ATP matches. This means that if you follow Nishikori then you will be betting into markets that get a lot of volume. Which usually means it is easier to attain the odds quoted by a tennis tipster.

Smaller markets such as challengers and ITF will see big odds movement when a successful tennis tipster releases their picks.

Statistics

Total Number Of Bets	3974
Total profit (Staking £10 per point)	£2680
Return On Investment	6.8%
Average Odds	2.6

Only downside to the tipster Nishikori is that he is an expensive tipster to follow.

For example subscribing to 50 of Nishikori’s picks would cost a total of £238 (£4.77 per pick.)

1000 picks would set you back £1505 (£1.51 per pick)

This obviously means that f you do choose to follow Nishikori you would want be staking appropriately to cover the subscription costs.

Number 4 – Sean Calvert

Sean Calvert is a well renowned tennis betting tipster. Working with the likes of Betfair and Unibet to produce previews for upcoming tennis matched.

Calvert has also been running his own tipping service for a number of years. He has an impressive overall return on investment of 3.13%, with the vast majority of his bets being in the ATP and WTA events.

In 2022 he has won 65 units and is running at a 10% return on investment.

Statistics

Total Number Of Bets	2827
Total Profit	171.98 units
Return On Investment	3.13%
Total Amount Staked	5502.82 units

Number 5 – Wadsters Winners

Wadsters Winners is a tennis tipster that comes out of the Smart Betting Club. He has been running his service since 2019.

In that time he has amassed a very impressive record with a return on investment of 10.11%

Wadster’s Winners advises the majority of his bets with the most popular bookmakers. Bet365, Unibet, Betfair Exchange, William Hill and Pinnacle are some of the main bookmakers used.

On average this service will send out between 40-50 tips a month.

Similar to Nishikori, Wadster Winners focuses on find value in the ATP and WTA. Where odds will not plummet immediately when selections are sent out.

Best Tennis Tipster On Twitter

If you are looking for tennis tipster to follow on twitter.

The tennis tipster Sean Calvert that we featured earlier in this article. Is pretty active on twitter and is well worth a follow.

You will often find his betting previews for the likes of Betfair and Betrivers posted up on his timeline. These are free previews with tips attached.

You can also find the likes of Nishikori and Wadsters Winners on twitter. Who both in the past have given out free selections however they are not very frequent.

Nishikori Twitter Link

Wadster Tips Twitter Link

Best Free Tennis Tipster

There are probably hundreds if not thousands of free tennis tipsters available on the internet. However the majority will be losing tipsters that are only interested in directing to a bookmaker sign up.

The five tipsters that we have noted in this article all have long term records and have proven to be profitable for a number of years.

If you are not looking to pay for a service then our advise would be to take advantage of the free selections offered by some of these tipsters.

Sean Calvert as we noted provides plenty of free tennis selections via his previews for various companies. Another good source of free tips is from Sporting Life, for example they have a nice round up of the best outright bets for the 2024 ATP season.

Lastly Rollin Aces features in Betting Gods daily free tipping email from time to time. You can receive these selections by signing up to the link below.

Betting Gods Free Selections

Best Tennis Tipster 2024 – Conclusion

In this article we have covered the five best tennis tipsters that are currently available. These tipsters are able to produce profits in the bigger markets such as the WTA and ATP.

Whilst Winnerodds also allows you to focus on making money from the smaller Challenger and ITF series.

Your preference will depend on which bookmakers you have available and which markets you want to bet in.

Given the high volume approach and flexibility of being able to use the software 24 hours a day. Our number one recommendation is Winnerodds.

Winning Record ✔

Long Term Track Record ✔

Verified Results ✔

Click Here To Learn More About Winnerodds

Looking for profitable tipsters for other sports?

Best Basketball Tipster list

Best Greyhound Tipster list

4 Proven Betting Systems That Work in 2024

Proven Betting Systems That Work

I remember when I first started searching for a proven betting system googling the term “betting systems.”

There was all sorts of progressive staking systems, martingale systems, stop at a winner systems, progressive laying systems. The fact was though that none of these betting systems held up to any long term analysis and would normally blow your bank if you followed them for long enough.

But after researching a bit longer, testing out hundreds of betting systems and strategies. I actually found a few betting systems that did actually work and started to make consistent money from sports betting.

In this article let’s go over four betting systems that can actually make you a long term profit..

Which continue to be profitable in the year 2024!

Proven Betting System 1 – Arbitrage Betting

Sports Arbitrage betting is something that I still use on the occasion as part of my portfolio.

Arbitrage betting involves covering every outcome of an event. In order to guarantee a profit no matter the outcome.

Here is an example of a number of arbitrage bets found using the software Oddsmonkey.

For example if we take one of the arbitrage bets above.

There is a 2.36% arbitrage bet between Antalyspor and Besiktas in the Turkish cup.

We can can back Antalyspor at odds of 2.6 with both Unibet and BetMGM. There is a lay bet available at the betting exchange Smarkets at odds of 2.54 (I lay bet means we act as a bookmaker and lay someone else bet.)

For every £100 risked across both outcomes a profit of £2.36 could be guaranteed.

Although this may seem like a small amount, you can use larger stakes to make a bigger profit. Also there are multiple arbitrage opportunities every day and these small tax free profits can soon add up.

It is a simple betting system that once you understand fully, can be used again and again.

Negatives of arbitrage betting?

The only issue with arbitrage betting is that it has a limited life cycle.

Bookmakers will eventually limit arbitrage bettors accounts once they see that they are not going to be profitable customers.

Arbitrage betting is a great way to build up a betting or trading bankroll. Before you move on to betting or trading with exchanges and Asian bookmakers.

Check Out The Utimate Guide To Arbitrage Betting For More Information On Sports Arbitrage

Proven Betting System 2 – Value Betting

Value betting is similar to arbitrage betting as it involves exploiting the soft bookmakers.

A value bet involves looking for odds that are out of line with the sharp Asian Bookmakers or betting exchanges.

Given that the odds at sharp bookmakers and betting exchanges are quite efficient in big markets. The betting exchanges and sharp Asian bookmakers often offer close to the true odds of an event.

Sometimes when there is odds movement on these events soft bookmakers will be slow to move their odds.

Consistently betting on odds above the Asian bookmakers and betting exchanges has proven to be extremely profitable.

Image courtesy of Trademate Sports.

The advantage that value betting has over arbitrage betting is that you generate a much higher turnover and use lower stakes which may make your accounts last longer then conventional arbitrage betting.

A lot of bookmakers will also offer value accumulators often on a weekly basis as part of odds boosts or special promotions.

Negatives of value betting?

Again the only downside to consistently taking value bets is that soft bookmakers will eventually see that you are able to make money from them and will limit or close your account.

However if you plan to make money from sports betting. Getting banned from soft bookmakers is going to happen whichever way you choose to make money from them.

Click Here To Read The Utimate Guide To Value Betting For More Information On Value Betting

Proven Betting System 3 – Matched Betting

The popularity of matched betting has exploded in the last few years and with good reason.

Matched betting is probably one the best and easiest ways to generate a good second income online. Another massive advantage of matched betting is that profits are tax free.

This betting system involves taking advantage of bookmaker offers to guarantee a profit much like arbitrage betting.

The big advantage that matched betting has over arbitrage is that is a lot less obvious and harder for bookmaker’s employed traders to spot. Regular sports bettors will also be using free bets which means that as a matched bettor you don’t look massively different from everyone else.

I have covered matched betting in a lot more detail in this article below. It is an ideal starting point for anyone that is looking to start making money from sports betting.

Negatives of matched betting?

There isn’t many downsides to matched betting. Bookmakers will stop giving you promotions eventually. But as discussed before this is what happens when you become a profitable sports bettor.

So there you have 3 proven betting systems that are currently working in 2024. Which should also prove be profitable in the long term.

Each of these betting systems involve exploiting soft bookmakers.

This is really the best way to start making money from the sports betting markets and allows you to build up a nice trading bankroll or good second income.

Proven Betting System 4 – Betting On Team News

One proven betting strategy that you might not know is reacting quickly to team news.

Odds can rapidly change on the basis of team news.

If you have a good knowledge of the teams that are playing, then you will often be able to secure yourself a value bet.

Here is a good example of how odds can change when a teams lineup is announced.

In this example I have highlighted the point at which team news was announced.

This was a Europa League between Arsenal and Standard Liege.

Arsenal announced a weaker side then expected, from this news the odds on Arsenal drifted quite significantly before the game started.

If you were familiar with the teams and reacted to the information you would have been able to secure yourself a value bet on Standard Liege.

Due to the fact that Arsenal’s odds were drifting so the odds on the draw and Standard Liege would have to shorten.

This is a really effective strategy and if you have access to betting exchanges you can secure yourself a profit before the game even starts.

Here is a video which explain this strategy in more detail.

Watch this video on YouTube

The Sports Betting Strategies That Made Over 150K Profit

As mentioned throughout this article, there are proven sports betting strategies that make money over the long term. The best approach that I have found is to use the simple low risk strategies first and as your bankroll/confidence increases.

Then you can scale up to use more advanced strategies.

Matched Betting
Arbitrage
Value Betting
Casino Offers

Are the key betting systems to get started with. Oddsmonkey is a service that covers all of these methods with guides and provides software to help you pinpoint the best opportunities.

Click Here Now To Start Your Free Trial

Make Money From Casino Bonuses 2024 – £36,764 Profit Strategy!

Make money from casino bonuses – the strategy that made me £36,764

First of all you need to understand that casino games are there to make the house money. They are all designed to give casino players the short term buzz of winning but the long term profit almost always goes to the casino.

Almost Always!

The only way to make money from a casino game is to find an edge and exploit that edge for as much money as possible, before it disappears. In this article I am going to explain the simple edge that I use to consistently make money from casino offers.

Make Money From Casino Bonuses – The Houses Edge

As stated earlier the majority of casino games are unbeatable.

Casino games have been developed solely to make the casino money.

In the short term you might get lucky however over the long run the casino is going to make a guaranteed profit. The exception to this rule would be poker where the casino takes a percentage of the winners pot.

In poker, casino customers play against each other and professional poker has been a profession for a very long time.

Notable poker names such as Daniel Cates, Phil Ivey, Doug Polk and many more have proven that there is a lot of money to be made in the world of poker.

The other notable exception is blackjack.

Card Counting

Edward Thorp an American mathematics professor pioneered the technique of card counting which is still used today in certain casinos.

Thorp’s book “Beat The Dealer -a winning strategy for the game of Twenty One” revolutionised advantage gambling. The book showed a method which was mathematically proven to flip the edge from house to the player.

In this article we are going to focus on online casinos. The principle is exactly the same however it will involve using a different method to flip the odds in our favour. Every time we play a casino game, we do so when the odds are for us.

Exploiting casino bonus offers along with cashback offers is a very simple and also proven method of making a profit from online casinos.

Make Money From Casino Bonuses Online – What is EV?

There is a term in advantage gambling called EV.

This stands for expected value and it is used to calculate the expected profit from performing an action over the long term. Perhaps the best way to explain this is with a coin flip example.

Okay so lets say we have a scenario where you have a friend that believes tails is luckier then heads.

They believe this so strongly that they are willing to pay you £11 every time it lands on heads. Whilst you have to only pay them £10 every time it lands on tails.

This gives you a mathematical advantage and long term this is called plus EV or positive expected value.

Choose Heads and get odds of 2.1 (real probability is 50% so odds should be 2.0)

Choose Tails and get odds of 2.0 (This is the true value of a coin landing on tails.)

If you flipped the coin several hundred times then there would a strong statistical probability that you would win money.

Make Money From Casino Bonuses Online – Flipping The Edge In Your Favour

So now lets take a look at a real example of where we can get value from a casino.

In this example I am going to use a cashback offer. This offer gave me 10% cashback on losses up to £20 on any casino games that I played that day.

This is a really good offer we you can get a good return for your money in very little time.

For an offer like this my personal choice is always to play blackjack.

This keeps the variance lower then other methods and playing optimal blackjack strategy means that the house has a very low house edge.

Playing optimal blackjack strategy with this casino gives a return to player of around 99.5%.

This means that for every £100 staked we can expect to lose only 50p per hand in the long run.

Although the distribution of results will be random. Meaning that there could be long winning or losing streaks at times.

In the long run we can expect to make a profit from this offer.

Exploiting The Offer

So the offer is 20% cashback on losses up to £200.

I play optimal blackjack strategy with the aim of doubling my money or losing it all.

If I win a profit of £200 is made.
If I lose a loss of -£180 is made.

To work out the long term value of this offer we have to deduct the house edge from the amount we stake.

In this case we deduct £1 which is 0.5% of the £200 stake that is used.

Then divide it by 2 as roughly half the time we will win (no cashback) and half the time we will lose (cashback awarded.)

£200 – 1 = £19 divided by 2 = £9.50.

In the long run we can expect to make £9.50 on average from this offer.

This offer will take less then 5 minutes to do, so the return for the time spent is very good.

Staking And Risk Management For Casino Offers

One thing that is really important to remember when exploiting casino bonuses and cashback is that you will have losing runs.

Due to this you need to have a set bankroll and accept that you won’t always win.

There are different staking strategies available such as the Kelly Criterion (which suggests altering your staking depending on the size of your expected value.)

However you might just want to keep things simple and never risk more then 2-3% of your total bankroll on an offer. This will allow you to endure losing periods.

The importance of volume

Just as an example of why it is important to put a lot of volume into plus EV casino offers and not look at things short term.

Here are my results over the last 7062 offers.

Looking at the long term graph you can see that a good profit has been made and the graph curve has generally gone upwards.

However if you look right at the start, you will see that initially I was losing money after the first 70 offers. There has also been long losing or break even periods at times however in the long run it has been very profitable.

Make Money From Casino Bonuses – Step By Step Guide To Make £33 EV In 15 Minutes

Probably the best entry to advantage gambling is with low risk offers, cashback offers and free spins.

Many bookmakers and casinos offer daily free spin offers. These offers generally have a low EV of £0.5-£1 however there are lots of these offers everyday.

It can be a good way of building up your initial bankroll and also gaining faith in the mathematics behind advantage gambling.

Whilst also getting used to the variance of results.

Poker Stars Casino Cashback Offer

This is a great value offer worth around £18.

1. Sign up to Quidco using this link if you haven’t already (This is a free account and gets you an additional £15 sign up bonus.)
2. Search for Pokerstars Casino offer and sign up
2. Deposit £30 into Pokerstars Casino
3. Play through £30 on Live Blackjack on low stakes £5 or below – here is a guide for optimal blackjack strategy
4. Withdraw your money and wait for your cashback to be credited
Breakdown Of The Offer
Wager £30 on blackjack 99.5% rtp = -£0.15 (On average you will lose an estimated £0.15 long term from wagering)

Get £18.75 Cashback – -£0.15 For wagering

Expected Value = £18.60 + £15 sign up bonus = £33.60

This offer can also be done with Topcashback where cashback is higher at £25, however you will not get the £15 sign up bonus.

Leo Vegas Casino Cashback Offer

Another a great value offer worth around just under £15.

1. This offer is only with Top Cashback, sign up Top Cashback using this link if you haven’t already (This is a free account and currently there is a £10 sign up bonus available.)
2. Search for Leovegas offer and sign up
2. Deposit £30 into Leovegas
3. Play through £30 on Live Blackjackon low stakes £5 or below – here is a guide for optimal blackjack strategy
4. Withdraw your money and wait for your cashback to be credited
Breakdown Of The Offer
Wager £30 on blackjack 99.5% rtp = -£0.15 (On average you will lose an estimated £0.15 long term from wagering)

Get £18.75 Cashback – -£0.15 For wagering

Expected Value = £18.60
Click Here For A £10 Bonus From TopCashback

Make Money From Casino Bonuses Online – High Risk Offers

Moving on to high risk offers.

High risk casino bonus offers are not for the faint of heart and it is not something I would advise people to jump into straight away.

When doing high risk offers you can have losing runs that will see you down thousands if things go against you.

My own online casino results are a mixture of low risk and high risk casino offers.

However I only did high risk casino offers once I had already built up a bankroll doing lower risk offers and also using matched betting.

Here is an example of a high risk offer.

Deposit £100 get a £100 bonus which must be wagered 40x (£4000) and wagering on blackjack does not count.

Whilst this offer is still plus EV and worth doing in the long run.

It is higher variance as we can’t use blackjack and have to use a high return to player slot.

The long term EV of this offer however is around £25.

Having done thousands of casino offers I have had some big wins but also been through some long losing runs. In the long run with a disciplined well managed approach there is still good money to be made from high risk casino offers.

Is This Like Matched Betting?

Exploiting casino bonuses is similar to matched betting in that it is betting with a proven mathematical advantage.

However you will not make money on every single offer, in my opinion it is more comparable to value betting.

To succeed in the long term, you need a disciplined approach.

The big advantage this has over matched betting is that the EV is currently a lot higher on average per offer.

Along with the fact that there are not as many people exploiting casino offers due to the variance involved.

Where Can I Find Offers And Learn More?

If you want to find casino bonuses you can use a site such as askgamblers.com.

Read through the terms and conditions of the bonuses to try and find some plus EV opportunities.

I still do this from time to time if a new casino emerges and the services I use don’t cover it.

The other option, which is the option I use and is also how I learnt to exploit casino bonuses in the most optimal way possible.

Is to use a service such as Oddsmonkey (Also covers matched betting and value betting) or if you really want to delve deep into exploiting casino offers Profit Maximiser also is a good alternative.

The picture shows the type of breakdown Profit Maximiser will give you when looking at exploiting bonus offers.

Detailing everything from stake sizing, the optimal slots to use, estimated value of the offer and also the % of you losing your entire stake on that offer.

This service was a game changer for me and allowed me to make over £35,000 in profit from exploiting casino offers.

Make Money From Casino Bonuses – Conclusion

Making money from casino bonuses is still very possible in 2024.

The returns on your money for the time spent doing them can be excellent.

If you have the right mentality and approach then this is still a very valid way of making money online.

Click Here For My Number 1 Recommendation For Casino Offers (The Service Also Covers Matched Betting, Value Betting And Bingo Offers)

(This article features affiliate links. This means that if you choose to make a purchase, I will earn a commission. This commission comes at no additional cost to you. I use or have used any product I review. If I recommend them it is because I believe they are helpful, useful and offer value to their customers. Please do not spend any money on these products unless you feel they will give you value or that they will help you achieve your goals.)

6 Of The Best Free Football Tipsters On Twitter In 2024

Watching and betting on football for a living is probably the dream job for thousands if not millions of people. However actually making long term profits from betting on football is much harder then it sounds.

The majority of the most popular tipsters on twitter, are actually more interested in providing you with losing tips in order to make affiliate revenue.

Readers of this blog will know all about social media tipsters.

Like the Badman Tipster and how they operate.

However there are some legitimate ones that are well worth following, So who are the best football tipsters on twitter?

Let’s take a look!

Who Are The Best Football Tipsters On Twitter

Mark Stinchcombe

I first came across Mark Stinchcombe on the Matchbook betting podcast.

His approach to football betting and analysis immediately made him stand out as someone that approached betting professionally. Bets are very well thought out and his reasoning his excellent.

Mark continues to share his tips now on the Betfair football betting podcast.

If you are looking for someone that approaches their football betting professionally and gives out solid reasoning for why a bet looks to be value.

Then Mark Stinchcombe is someone that you should be following.

2. Mark O’Haire

Mark O’Haire is a football analyst and writer.

Providing write ups for the likes of 188bet and Matchbook.

I first came across Mark’s work from his excellent write ups for the broker Eastbridge. Often highlighting value in the Asian handicap markets.

Mark currently gives out excellent advice on the weekly Matchbook podcast. Specializing in European football he often finds excellent value bets to follow.

If you are looking for free football tips from one of the best football tipsters around. Then Mark O’Haire is someone that you should definitely be following on twitter.

3.BETONVALUE

Bet On Value is a very low key twitter tipster that consistently gives out excellent advice. Finding value bets in various markets.

He provides bets that are always backed up by excellent advice. Again you won’t find any silly £10-£1000 challenges with affiliate links attached to them.

What you will find is a solid approach to picking value bets from the world football markets.

If your looking for a free tipster that is able to find value from all manor of football betting markets. You could do a lot worse then following Bet On Value. He is an excellent of a good free football tipster that is available on Twitter.

4. WeLoveBetting

Run by the previously mentioned Mark O’Haire.

The We Love Betting twitter account has some excellent football betting previews. With numerous football tipsters providing free picks across a range of football competitions. Betting previews are often backed up by excellent analysis.

They are an excellent resource when looking for well researched football tips.

5. Neil Macdonald

Neil Macdonald is an experienced football tipster that has been profiting from the major football markets for a number of years.

Bookie Insiders is Neil’s paid service and has made an impressive profit of £21,728 after 5316 bets over an 8 year period.

However Neil also frequently gives out free tips from his service on twitter and also indicates selections that he thinks may have value.

Looking to follow an established football tipster that is profitable long term?

Then Neil Macdonald is another one of the absolute best to follow on twitter.

6.Matchbook

Matchbook are another great twitter profile to follow for free football selections. They do weekly Premier League, European football and Champions League podcasts with different guests.

Each guest normally analyzes an upcoming game and gives you their best bet of the week. Guests can range from ex professional footballers to professional football tipsters.

Standout Football Tipster

One of the best football tipsters that we have across in general on this site is Lulas BTTS’s selections. This is a tipster that generates consistent profits from the football betting markets.

Showing an all time profit of £10,511.

This is a tipster that usually costs £29 a month however using out link you access a huge discount and get the first month for only £8.70.

The Best Football Tipsters On Twitter

Even the best betting tipsters suffer losing runs and you should always make sure you have a solid staking plan in place.

The five tipsters above stand out as some of the best on twitter.

All of the tipsters above take an intelligent approach to football betting.

Each with solid reasoning and a real understanding of how to find value in the football betting markets.

Interested in other profitable betting tipsters? below is a list of the best tipsters we have found for various sports!

Click here for our list of best tennis tipsters

Click here for our list of the best basketball tipsters

Click here for the best greyhound tipsters

Here is the top Biathlon Tipster we have come across.

Making A Million From Sports Betting November 2023 Results

November marked month 80 in the “Making A Million Challenge”, with this year so far being one of the more uninspiring ones.

In November I decided to try and right the ship by focusing on my own betting. Seeing where I could make improvements and analyzing where mistakes were being made.

Let’s take a look at the results!

Value Betting And Trading

It was a much better month for value betting in November with a profit of £1656 being made after 329 bets.

Nice to get a solid month from value betting where I have been putting in a decent amount of work to find new edges and this month it started to pay off.

Most of the bets were on football with a few bets in other sports mixed in. Overall the goal is always the same, try to beat the closing odds.

This can be betting on exchanges, on limited accounts, with the few soft outs I have left and on the occasion in shops.

Click Here For My Recommended Value Betting Software With A Two Week Free Trial.

FTS Systems

FTS was the only service outside my own betting that I followed this month.

Due the fact that I have a separate bankroll allocated for it. Where as with other services such as Bets and Beers and Football Trading Club I use the same bankroll with my own betting systems.

In November I used 9 systems with a total of 72 bets

An overall profit of £1038 was made.

Horse Racing System

For a few months I had been testing out a horse racing system, backing horses and seeing over the long term if it beat the Betfair starting price.

Just looking at results for the first few hundred bets it didn’t look very promising. After 400 bets the system was up just under 8 points.

However tracking the odds placed vs the BSP.

Average Odds Placed = 5.7

Average Betfair SP = 5.2

It showed a clear edge and I started to back it with real money from the 20th of November. Which fortunately for me came at the time of a nice upswing.

Overall a profit of £678 was made.

Everything Else

In November there were two other strategies that I followed. These were very low volume so I will group them all together.

Casino Offers
MMA Betting

-£518 was made from this section.

November 2023 Total

Value Betting/Trading – £1656

FTS – £1038

Horse Racing System – £678

Other – -£518

Total Made In October

£2854

Overall Profit Since The Challenge Began

£183,865

Thoughts Going Forward

Feels really good to get a winning month in the books after two losing months and one breakeven month before that. One factor that I am happy about is that during this period I never made any stupid bets, didn’t increase stakes, no broken keyboards or smashed laptops.

I am human it pisses me off when I have losing days and long losing periods but this is ultimately the sports betting game. In the back of my head I knew I was doing the right things and eventually it hard to turn around.

If you still have your bankroll you can still play the game, if you bust your roll in a hissy fit then its game over.

Will continue to run things as they are then look at bringing in other services again in January. Feel confident that my new found edge in the horse racing will win long term and bring in a good amount of volume week to week.

Hope your betting went well, will return in December, fingers crossed with another strong month!

Value Betting Guide 2024 – How To Win At Sports Betting

Value betting or finding value in the sports betting markets, is the only way to make money long term from sports betting.

In this article we are going to look at one of the best methods for finding value in the sports betting markets. Whether your betting football, tennis, horse racing, NFL, boxing.

You name the sport, value betting works!

One of the big benefits of this method is that it allows you, to get a large amount of volume through the markets. Whilst having a consistent edge.

This method is also very easy to understand.

Value Betting Explained

First off what is value in the sports betting markets?

Quite simply getting value in the sports betting markets is backing something that is estimated to have a greater chance of happening then the odds indicate.

Lets look at a simple example.

Man United are priced at 2.0 (indicates a 50% win chance) against Everton at home.

The best betting syndicate in the world estimate that Manchester United are actually a 55% win chance.

Meaning they believes that Manchester United’s true odds should be 1.82.

This means odds above 1.82 are deemed to be value, with odds of 2.0 being extremely good value.

If you are consistently betting odds that are priced higher then there true probability, you will make money long term.

However the hard part of finding value in the sports betting markets is coming up with a true estimation of what the odds should actually be.

Some of the biggest betting syndicates in the world have hundreds of people working for them. Analyzing every bit of data available to them in order to make profitable bets.

In this article we are going to look at a proven method for finding value in the sports betting markets. This method allows us to mimic the bets made by these successful betting syndicates.

Sharp Bookmakers And Exchange Method

One proven way to find value in sports betting is by using sharp bookmakers and betting exchanges as an indicator for value.

Professional bettors separate bookmakers into two categories.

Sharp and Soft.

A soft bookmaker is one that does not want professional bettors, they only want losing recreational players that they know in the long term will make them money.

This is why some bookmakers close players accounts or limit their betting stakes to very small amounts.

Sharp bookmakers allow winning sports bettors to bet with them. They let sharp bettors influence their odds movement and rely more on profiting from the turnover they get from the betting markets they provide.

Betting exchanges follow a similar model charging on a commission basis and allowing professional punters to bet with them.

This means that professional sports bettors bet at sharp bookmakers.

Soft bookmakers often imitate the movement of sharp bookmakers and betting exchanges. However they are slower to adjust their betting odds.

This method of value betting takes advantage of this.

Value Betting Strategy

If you follow the money from the sharpest sports bettors in the world then you are going to make money from sports betting.

That is the essence of this strategy.

Consistently beat the closing odds of sharp bookmakers or betting exchanges and you have yourself a winning betting strategy.

This is known as “value betting” but is also sometimes referred to as “steam chasing”

Now you probably have heard of several betting systems or strategies that sound good in theory but don’t actually work.

This isn’t just a gamblers fallacy, there is a lot of data to back up this strategy.

Here are the statistics from a company called Trademate which provides software for value betting.

The software constantly scans the sharp bookmakers and highlights when a soft bookmaker is offering higher odds then them.

It calculates if there is value after the betting margin is taken into account and if it is value then it highlights these bets.

You can see that after 2,361,157 bets.

The total profit made by Trademate customers is £4,174,180.

Rebelbetting Value Betting

Another company called Rebelbetting uses a similar strategy.

Again using the odds movement from sharp bookmakers to highlight value bets at the soft books in order to beat the sharp bookmakers closing odds.

Their data showed that the average user was able to double there initial investment with value betting strategy after 3 months, placing 30 bets a day on average.

Lastly I will include some data from a website called bookie bashing.

This site also looks at the odds of betting exchanges and sharp bookmakers to highlight value bets at soft bookmakers.

Bookie Bashing focus on price boosts and accumulator boosts to find value in the sports betting markets. Which you also find if you have access to Oddsmonkey.

Again the data shows how successful this strategy is with a profit of £11,445 being made after the first 1000 value bets.

My own betting also incorporates the strategy of following sharp betting money very heavily alongside using other methods.

Although this is not the only method I use, value betting has proved to be a very successful part of it.

Alright so we have looked at data from multiple different sources to show that this strategy really works.

Now lets take a look at an actual example.

Value Betting Strategy Example

Borussia Dortmund are taking on Bayern Munich tomorrow.

By using the odds comparison site Oddsmath.com.

I had a look at the current odds available and found a bet which is showing value according to current market prices.

Marathonbet are pricing Borussia Dortmund at 3.88 which is a stand out price compared to the rest of the market.

I took a look at what the current price was on Betfair Exchange which is a sharp market for football betting.

Betting exchanges will often mirror the prices of the sharp Asian bookmakers.

Betfair Exchange showed a back price of 3.8 and a lay price of 3.85.

This is an strong indicator that currently the price of 3.88 that is currently offered by Marathonbet is indeed value.

Now obviously odds can change. They can drift in price and the bet is no longer seen as value. However they can also shorten in price becoming better value.

If you are able to constantly find odds that are consistently better then the Betfair lay price on markets with a high volume of money matched (such as Bundesliga.)

Then it is very likely you will make money in the long term.

Value Betting Results

Below are some of my results from value betting.

Running from 2021 to September 2022.

Value betting with soft bookmakers using the Trademate Sports software.

3801 bets – £5568 profit

Value betting strategies on Smarkets betting exchange (Also includes some trading)

£20,011 Profit

(Video proof in the video below.)

Watch this video on YouTube

Value Betting Tips

So you can see from the above that this is a strategy that really works.

Here are a few tips to get the most from this method of value betting.

Stick to popular sports with high liquidity

The first tip would be to stick to popular sports that have a lot of turnover.

For example the major European football leagues and big American sports.

The reason for this is that these markets are seen as more efficient due to the large amount of money that is placed on these events.

There is also less likely to be manipulation of these markets as it takes much more money to change the odds of say a Premier League game, compared to the Romanian second division.

Another factor is that a soft bookmaker will likely allow you to bet for longer if you are placing value bets on popular sports. This makes you look like much more of a recreational bettor, rather then somebody that wants to make money long term.

Understand you might have losing runs

Although you are betting with an edge and will make money in the long term. It’s really important to know that at times you will go through a losing period.

If you want to avoid losing runs altogether then you can look at arbitrage betting where you lock in a guaranteed profit from every bet. However the flip side to this is that you sacrifice some value long term by placing a bet with a margin on the other side of the bet.

In theory you will make more money long term from value betting but arbitrage is a good option for the risk averse.

(You can read the ultimate guide to arbitrage betting below for more information.)

Stake appropriately

One of the most important aspects of successful sports betting is to make sure you stake appropriately.

There a lot of different approaches to staking, some prefer to bet with flat stakes whilst others use a proportional staking strategy.

Most of the value betting software providers advise a staking using the kelly criterion. This staking strategy adjusts the amount of your bankroll you bet dependent on the perceived edge of the bet.

Use Value Betting Software

The last tip would be to use value betting software.

Although you can look for bets manually it can be very time consuming and you will miss a lot of value betting opportunities. There are several different value betting providers.

Best Value Betting Software

Oddsmonkey

Over the years I have used a number of value betting services.

The first one that we will take a look at is Oddsmonkey.

Oddsmonkey is primarily a matched betting service however it also provides tools that can be used for value betting.

The oddsmatcher software highlights bets with bookmakers that are higher then the lay on a betting exchange. This is a good indicator that these odds are value at the time they are highlighted.

Oddsmatcher comes with a filter option which means you can select which bookmakers you want see value bets for. You can also select how close to the start time of an event a selection should be. So for example if you want it to only show selections that are starting within 3 hours you can do.

Another positive for Oddsmonkey is they also provide extra place matcher and each way matcher. Which are both software tools you can use for value betting on the horse racing markets.

Compared with other value betting software Oddsmonkey scans bookmaker odds at a much slower rate meaning that sometimes the value bet will no longer exists.

However it is also the cheapest value betting service at £29.99. This is my recommendation for beginners and people fairly new to the world of sports betting.

(You Can Trial Oddsmonkey For Free Below)

Rebel Betting Value Betting Software

Next up is Rebelbetting.

Rebelbetting are a company that have been offering sports arbitrage software since 2008 and in the last few years started to offer a value betting service.

The software that Rebelbetting offer is a step up compared to Oddsmonkey. It scans bookmakers at a much faster rate and as such it provides a much higher volume of value bets.

Rebelbetting offer mobile, web and desktop versions of their value betting software. Which enables you to make value bets pretty much wherever you are.

The software is very professional, when a bet is flagged there is a link that takes you directly to it. Which saves valuable time and means odds are less likely to change before you can bet them.

Bets are then saved in a log which automatically updates whether your bet won or lost.

The value betting software offered by Rebelbetting is aimed at the individual that is willing to put in time and volume. As mentioned earlier it is a step up from Oddsmonkey and is suitable for someone that is serious about investing in value bets.

Value betting software offered by Rebelbetting costs £89 a month.

We managed to negotiate a really good deal for readers of Smart Sports Trader.
You can get a no strings attached 14 day subscription to Rebelbetting’s value betting software using the link below!

Trademate Sports Betting Software

Next up is Trademate Sports who are a company that offer the best value betting software in the industry.

Trademate Sports have created a lot of excellent content on how to effectively make money from bookmakers through their excellent youtube channel and website. One of the most impressive aspects of the software is that it is constantly being improved.

As mentioned above it is very easy to use.

You set up the bookmakers that you want to use along with other metrics such as odds, time before event starts, sports.

Also whether you want to only search for value bets at high liquidity events or across all markets.

The Trademate Sports software then flags up any value bets that match the metrics you chose to use in your filter. Trademate Sports allows you to have several feeds so you can create several different filters and use them at same time.

You can read our full review of Trademate Sports here.

The software currently costs around £108 making the most expensive software on the list.

It is aimed at someone that wants to take a professional approach to value betting.

I would recommend a starting investment of £2000 or more to use this software.

You can get a free 2 week trial of the Trademate Sports software below.
Quote “Smart Sports Trader” in the Trademate chat to get this deal once signed up

Conclusion

In conclusion value betting is an excellent strategy to use if you are looking to make money from the sports betting markets.

It has been proven to work by a number of reputable sources and allows you to make multiple bets on a daily basis with a positive expectation. The strategy works because you are following the bets of some of the sharpest minds in the sports betting world.

If value betting sounds like a strategy that you want to try out or even if you are still on the fence.

We recommend you take up Trademate’s free 14 day trial and take a look at the results for yourself.

Click Here To Trial Trademate’s Value Betting Software

Premier Greyhound Tips Review 2024 – Discount Trial Available

Premier Greyhound Tips Review

Premier Greyhound Tips is a UK based tipster. That focuses on betting in the greyhound markets.

Established in 2014, this tipster has an exceptional record of profit.

Since 2014 Premier Greyhound Tips has made a profit of £20,581 to £25 stakes.

Let’s take a look at how I got on in with this tipster in our Premier Greyhound Tips review.

Premier Greyhound Tips Service

First off let’s take a look at how the service functions.

When you join Premier Greyhound tips, you will receive a daily email. This will inform you whether or not there is a selection for that day.

If there is a selection for that day, Michael the man behind the service will explain why he believes the selection is value.

He will note down how much to stake (in terms of points) and the best odds available at that time. Along with the bookmakers that are offering those odds.

The services functions in pretty much the same way that all Betting Gods services do.

Results

On to the most important part of the review.

What were the actual results?

I started following Premier Greyhound Tips on the 28th of April.

The results below are from the 28th of April up until the 25th of July.

Official results over this time period were excellent.

A profit of £2105 was made from 84 selections.

This profit was made based on staking £25 per point.

Not all selections are to a single point. Up to 5 points have been suggested on some selections.

Over the 3 month period a total of £5,737 was staked. An overall return on investment of 36.7% was made.

My personal results following this service were a little different. Due to bookmaker limitations I could not always get the quoted price.

If I wasn’t able to bet the selection at quoted odds. I used Betfair, placing the bets at recommend odds and setting to bet at the SP if not taken.

My results were lower then the official results.

Due to missing a few winning bets and also taking lower then quoted odds. However the the results were still very promising and a good profit was made.

A profit of £1712 was made after 79 bets.

These results were also based on staking £25 per point.

Below is a comparison of how the Premier Greyhound tipster performed at bookmakers in comparison to betting with Betfair. You can can see that both strategies showed significant profit.

Total Bets	Stakes	Profit at Bookmakers	Profit at Betfair
84	£25 per point	£2105	NA
79	£25 per point	NA	£1712

Premier Greyhound Tips Conclusion

Overall I have been very impressed with Premier Greyhound Tips.

It is a service that has been consistently making profits since 2014. The tips are clearly very well researched by an expert in greyhound racing. My profits following the service were excellent.

Let’s go through a few frequently asked questions regarding the service.

How quickly do odds move?

Selections do tend to get backed in.

However I did have a lot of success placing bets up on Betfair. Which were matched the majority of the time as the markets came to life about 10-5 mins before the start of a race.

Any negatives to report?

One minor negative is that there is no set time for when tips are sent. Most services tend to have a time frame for when to expect bets. Premier Greyhound Tips does not do this.

This means that there will be times when you miss selection.

Overall though I am very happy to recommend Premier Greyhound Tips, it is a service that is very well run and has been very profitable for a number of years.

If you are looking for the best greyhound tipster, Premier greyhound tips is clearly a standout tipster.

Results	Official	My Own
Total Bets	84	74
P/L	£2105	£1712
Return On Investment	36.7%	31.7%

Cost

Premier Greyhound Tips is very reasonably priced at £17 a month.

They also offer several discounts when you join initially if you subscribe for a longer period.

3 Months – £29

6 Months – £39

Fancy testing out Premier Greyhound Tips yourself?
Use the link below for a discounted 15 day trial!

(This article features affiliate links. This means that if you choose to make a purchase, I will earn a commission. This commission comes at no additional cost to you.

I use or have used any product I review. If I recommend them it is because I believe they are helpful, useful and offer value to their customers.

Please do not spend any money on these products unless you feel they will give you value or that they will help you achieve your goals.)

Football Betting Strategies That Actually Work In 2024

The world of football betting is extremely popular all over the world. However, the majority of people do not know how to implement the right strategies that will allow them to win in the long term. In this article, we will look at strategies that have been proven to find and information that you need to become a long term winner.

Follow Proven Tipsters

One of the easiest strategies to implement is to follow the tips of tipsters with proven long term winning records such as bookie insiders.

Bookie Insiders Football - Official Results

This strategy is great because, first of all, it requires zero skills. This means this strategy is perfect for everyone, including people who are brand new to the field of sports betting and have no actual strategies. By following professional tipsters, you can make sure to profit from other people’s expertise, using their knowledge and experience to learn and develop your own betting.

Matched Betting

Another great strategy that has been proven to work in football betting is matched betting. The term “matched betting” simply means that you can make a guaranteed profit from bookmakers’ free bets and promotions. In other words, this strategy takes advantage of bookmakers’ free bets and promotions to guarantee a profit to bettors.

To use this strategy, all you have to do is find a bookmaker-free bet and place your qualifying and lay bets. This strategy might seem confusing at first, but after a little bit of practice, it will become much more intuitive and simple.

Track Your Bets

This might sound obvious and even a little boring, but the truth is that keeping a record of your bets is a great way to increase your long term profit. This is because keeping a record is a great way to stay up-to-date with your own betting practices and strategies and to always know what worked and what didn’t. By keeping a record, you will know which bets you won, which you lost, and the amount that was at stake for your bets. You will also be aware of your overall profit and the bookmaker you used for each bet.

We recommend Bettin.gs to track your bets.

Tracking your bets is vital if you want be a long term winner with sports betting. It can help you hone and find your edge in the markets.

Use Multiple Bookmakers

Making use of the all the available bookmakers you have at your disposal is vital to a winning football betting strategy.

Getting the best odds you have available to you with every single bet can be the difference between a winning strategy and a losing one. Think of it this way if one employer offered you £15 an hour and another £18 an hour to do the same job. The pick would be obvious right?

Taking the best odds available is an edge in the sports betting markets. Don’t be lazy, make sure you open multiple bookmaker accounts and take advantage of better odds/promotions/boosts.

Don’t Bet With Your Heart

Every bettor has a favorite team, of course.

At the same time, it is not always a great idea to bet only based on personal preferences. Avoid placing bets based on emotions, and make sure to be as analytical as possible when it comes to bets. Betting on your favorite team when it has no chance of winning could feel like a betrayal, but if your goal is to make a profit, you must learn how to be impartial. There will be bets in which your favorite team will be the winner, but that might not always be the case. Because of this, one of the best things to do is to remain impartial, make sure to not let your emotions lead the way, and be analytical instead.

Specialize To Find An Edge

Knowing your niche is another really important factor in becoming a winning football bettor that uses profitable strategies. In this case, knowing football like the palm of your hand is definitely the way to go. By knowing the sport very well, you will be able to read any bet with more understanding than the average bettor, and this will give you some leeway in every bet you place.

Look at lesser know markets such as corners/cards/half time markets. Specializing in these markets can allow you to find golden strategies that win long term.

What Separates A Professional From a Casual Bettor in The Sports Betting Culture?

Have you ever thought of making sports betting a professional endeavor?
The idea of leaving the daily 9 to 5 grind and making big stacks on the regular sounds appealing. Many have tried, some persisted and became big, but most fell short and failed. That said, what separates successful professionals from casual bettors?

In this article, we will briefly explain what makes a professional bettor professional. What practices they make that separate a profitable hobby from a long-term career endeavor. Read more below and see what it takes to be a professional.

Tracking Anything And Everything

One thing you need to understand about professional sports betting is that most gaming or gambling industry professionals understand the importance of data. Any information they can access gets tracked, recorded, and considered for their strategies.

For example, If you’re just betting for fun at the NBA, you might just check one line like Fanduel odds on NBA betting lines or trends on online forums. But for a professional, they go deeper than that. Specifically, professional bettors take all kinds of information, from favorable betting lines to forum insights and social media activities.

Betting Mindset For Losses

One critical thing that further separates a professional from casual bettors is how they interpret losses. For a casual player, losing a bet might be a big deal, and they often change their priorities from enjoying the event to getting back their losses. This strategy is flawed at best because it creates a flaw in your betting strategy. Which can further increasing your losses.

On the other hand, professionals are generally unbothered with losses. When you take sports betting to the next level, you are sure to leave a trail of losses throughout your journey. So, for them losing is just part of the process. Instead they take time to review and understand the mistakes, rarely concerning the losses accumulated.

Budgeting Mindset

If there’s anything that further separates the gap between professionals and casual players, it’s bankroll management.

For most casual bettors, bankroll management may be the last of their concerns. At some point, you might be focused on getting big wins using large stakes regardless of whether you can afford it. Regardless, most casuals have varying degrees of understanding and preparation when budgeting their finances. But for professionals, they are inclined to an analytical and prepared approach.

Professionals see sports betting as a complicated chess game where strategy matters, and those that come well-prepared can win big. In this case, they already set out their estimated budgets weeks before the game. They do this by checking all available lines and doing math on their betting and wager minimums. After that, they estimate their budget based on the type of bets they want to take and how much they will lose.

And for emphasis, professional bettors only bet on what they can afford to lose. Losing everything is more likely to happen whenever you’re gambling than earning a profit. Professionals understand this, so they make all the necessary preparations to maximize every dollar spent on the betting lines.

Performance Over Fun

Professionals don’t bet for fun; they take sports betting seriously and value performance over enjoyment. This is not to say that they dread sports betting and leave nothing to enjoy; it only means that they value winning bets and performance while betting.

We think this goes over to the idea of emotions influencing your decisions. In most sports betting guides, emotion is a significant influencer on your decisions, and most casual bettors lose bets due to the lack of control.

That’s why most professionals avoid alcohol and sports betting. Instead, they stick to their plans, regardless of whether they enjoy it or not. And besides, after winning some wagers on your betting session, most professionals have fun and enjoy their profits.

At the end of the day, what you prioritize affects your betting journey. And for professionals, having fun is the last part of their list.

Goal Setting And Future Planning

Full-time bettors set various goals in mind, and they create multiple strategies focused on achieving those goals. Whether they’re aiming for the big bucks or higher win rates, their goals are often realistic, and it takes years to achieve them,

This type of planning requires a strong mindset and determination to become a professional in the betting industry. Applying multiple strategies and financial disciplines puts them closer to their goal.

Takeaway

Sports betting is a lucrative entertainment available for most. It caters to both casual and aspiring professionals to gamble towards winning big, and this article covers the variables that need to be considered as a professional bettor.

In summary, professionals calculate, sometimes cold, and value performance over anything else. Nevertheless, these are people with dedication and wit who take a journey that should be admired by many aspirants in the field. If you want to take a shot at being great at sports betting, then the traits mentioned above can help you out.

Making A Million From Sports Betting October 2023 Results

October brought month 79 in the “Making a Million Challenge.”

Results haven’t been great the last few months,

July – +£1062

August – +£48

September – -£1318

So I was hoping for strong month to turn things around, Let’s see if that happened.

Value Betting And Trading

This month I really put more focus and analysis on value betting. Last year this was a huge earner and the results haven’t been replicated this year.

Value betting comes in two forms, one is just picking off slowing moving odds with soft bookmakers and occasionally exchanges. The second way is reading market movement and preempting the big moves across the board. When all bookmakers move their odds one way.

Below is an example, I bet Cambodia at 1.99 and its closing odds were 1.59.

Beating the closing line is a great indicator of long term profit. By reading the market I can beat the closing line around roughly 65% of the time.

It terms of beating the closing line. This month went really well and I felt like I uncovered a few new angles. In terms of results, beating the closing line didn’t mean shit.

Overall a loss of -£801 was made from 328 bets.

Click Here For My Recommended Value Betting Software With A Two Week Free Trial.

FTS Systems

October was a terrible month for the FTS systems that I run with a total loss of –£1459 being made after 104 bets.

Not a huge amount to say really, it was just a really bad month. didn’t matter if the system was lay the draw, back the draw, back home teams, unders/overs etc. Sometimes in this game you are going to lose and you can accept it or bitch about it (I will accept it in this section then bitch about it later)

Bets And Beers Telegram Group

Bets and Beers had a strong month in October.

I follow the lay the half time draw method and this performed really well in the last weekend. However given how rough this month was going I took the last weekend off betting. Also I had been capping my lays at odd of 3.5

Which is not something I would usually do however I felt I need to reassess things and wanted a break from results.

I made £60 in profit in October.

Link To Bets and Beers

Everything Else

In October there were quite a few other strategies that I followed. These were very low volume so I will group them all together.

Casino Offers
Football Bet Data
MMA Betting
Football Trading Club

Football trading club was low volume due to the international break. My overall results being poor had me stop following the home value system and double chance. Long term the football trading club is very profitable but at the moment I want to focus on my own strategies to turn things around.

Hit a few profitable casino winners and MMA betting was profitable this to lessen some of the damage in other area’s

A profit of £326 was made from this section.

October 2023 Total

Bets and Beers – £60

Value Betting/Trading – -£801

FTS – -£1459

Other – £326

Total Made In October

-£1874

Overall Profit Since The Challenge Began

£181,011

Thoughts Going Forward

The curse of the new house continues, I thought it was cute when my wife suggested my record losing month was due to “feng shui” or “new spirits” in the house.

To follow up last months record losing month with an even bigger losing month in October though hit pretty hard. It stopped being funny and at times I was asking myself ” Am I f***** cursed, what is going on?”

Teams chucking away 2 goal leads, smashing the closing line and seeing my team get a red card after 10 minutes etc. It did seem endless and it is the most frustrating period of betting career. However I know that bad runs can happen, especially when you are mostly straight betting. Trading you can reduce variance but my approach is 95% value betting.

After spending around 90% of my bankroll to move house, I have been staking fairly aggressively with a smaller bankroll and been burnt. Historically losing months have been very rare and there has never been two in a row before. So in that sense I don’t think was a terrible idea.

I lean that these last couple of months are a “black swan” and that it is just a patch of really bad variance.

Changes

On the flip side though I also have to consider that it isn’t just bad variance and my approach needs adjusting.

“The definition of insanity is doing the same thing over and over again and expecting different results.”

This is the tough thing about betting, you can do the right things and still end up losing. When it comes to my value betting/trading I could look at the closing line and assess whether it was good or bad. Following other services this can be a little trickier.

I decided towards the end of the month to tighten things up. Bets and Beers and the football trading club I will put on hold until the new year. Look at where my bankroll is and then likely follow them with small stakes.

FTS I have a dedicated bank, which I will continue with until the end of season.

My value betting I actually think has improved this month. This downswing made me look at what I was doing and where I can make improvements. Which I have done.

What I can also do to reduce variance is trade out some liability on some of the bigger markets. Which when the market goes in my favour basically creates a larger value bet and can lower variance. Given that I can beat the closing line more often then I don’t, this is a profitable strategy.

This was something that I did much more of last year and due to over confidence/laziness haven’t done as much this year. Now I don’t think this is the only reason for the big differences in profit, up until the end of March last year I still had some of the big soft bookmakers left. However it could definitely help smooth over these run months and future potential losing months.

Hopefully November and December can see a positive end to 2023 and I hope your betting in October went better then mine.

See you next month!